ADDRESS OF MICHAEL C.
RUPPERT
FOR THE COMMONWEALTH CLUB –
SAN FRANCISCO
TUESDAY AUGUST 31, 2004
THANK YOU FOR THAT GRACIOUS
INTRODUCTION.
LET ME BEGIN BY THANKING PAT
LAMKEN FOR INVITING ME TO BE HERE
TODAY AND FOR HER EFFORTS TO
ARRANGE – WHAT IS CERTAINLY
FOR ME – A HISTORIC LANDMARK
IN MY 26 YEARS OF WORK TO BRING
TO LIGHT INFORMATION –
VITALLY IMPORTANT, LIFE AND DEATH,
INFORMATION – WHICH HAS BEEN
VIRTUALLY IGNORED BY THE
MAINSTREAM MEDIA. THIS
INFORMATION HAS ALSO REMAINED
COMPLETELY UNADDRESSED OR
EVEN PUBLICLY ACKNOWLEDGED BY
THOSE ELITES IN BOTH AMERICA
AND THE WORLD THAT DETERMINE
AND SHAPE PUBLIC POLICY AND
DIRECT THE COURSE OF HUMAN
EVENTS.
I SAY THIS WITH THE FULL AND
COMPLETE AWARENESS THAT I AM
TONIGHT STANDING PARTIALLY
IN THE MIDST OF THOSE ELITES AND
THAT THOSE ELITES ARE
LISTENING.
I HAVE LONG BEEN AWARE OF
THE STATURE AND PRESTIGE OF THE
COMMONWEALTH CLUB, FOR ITS
ABILITY TO ATTRACT SOME OF THE
WORLD’S MOST INFLUENTIAL
SPEAKERS; ALSO FOR ITS REPUTATION
FOR BI-PARTISANSHIP; AND
PERHAPS MOST IMPORTANTLY FOR ITS
WILLINGNESS TO PRESENT
CONFLICTING OR OPPOSING VIEWPOINTS. MY APPEARANCE HERE TONIGHT NO DOUBT MARKS A
DEPARTURE FOR
THE CLUB EVEN FROM THAT
INSPIRING RECORD.
WITH TODAY’S REMARKS I
INTEND TO ESTABLISH A WHOLE NEW
DEFINITION OF “CONFLICTING
VIEWPOINT.”
I APPLAUD THE CLUB’S RECORD
AND AM MINDFUL THAT, HAD IT NOT
BEEN FOR THE DANGEROUS AND
EPOCHAL HISTORICAL EVENTS
TAKING PLACE AROUND US, I
WOULD NEVER HAVE BEEN AFFORDED
SUCH AN OPPORTUNITY AS THIS.
BECAUSE CLEARLY, MY WRITING AND
PUBLIC SPEAKING HAVE
DEMONSTRATED THAT WHERE WE ARE TODAY
IS EXACTLY WHERE I SAID WE
WOULD BE IF SOMETHING FUNDAMENTAL
WAS NOT CHANGED ABOUT HOW WE
BOTH VIEW THE WORLD, AND HOW
WE INTERACT WITH IT.
BEFORE PREPARING THIS
SPEECH, OF COURSE, I DID SOME RESEARCH
TO SEE WHO HAD SPOKEN HERE
BEFORE.
I WAS HAPPY TO SEE THAT I
FOLLOW ON THE HEELS OF SUCH
NOTABLES AS FORMER CIA
DIRECTOR JAMES WOOLSEY AND TWO
MEMBERS OF THE KEAN
COMMISSION ON 9/11: SLADE GORTON AND
RICHARD BEN-VENISTE. THESE
ARE NOT PEOPLE WHO I WOULD CALL
“KINDRED SPIRITS.” I ALSO
SAW THE NAME OF HOMELAND SECURITY
SECRETARY TOM RIDGE AND
FORMER TREASURY SECRETARY ROBERT
RUBIN. THESE ARE ALSO
LEADERS OF WHOM I HAVE BEEN SHARPLY
CRITICAL IN THE PAST AND
WILL BE SHARPLY CRITICAL OF IN THE
FUTURE.
I ALSO SAW NAMES LIKE JOHN
KERRY, JOHN EDWARDS, DENNIS
KUCINICH, JOE LIBERMAN AND
MADELEINE ALBRIGHT.
2
MY RECORD AS A JOURNALIST
AND LECTURER SHOWS THAT I HAVE
NOT EMBRACED, AND HAVE
INDEED BEEN FIERCELY CRITICAL OF, MOST
OF THESE OPINION MAKERS.
WHILE I AM MORE INCLINED TO FIND
KINSHIP WITH DENNIS
KUCINICH, I ALSO STATE CATEGORICALLY THAT
NO POLITICAL LEADER WHO DOES
NOT ADDRESS THE REAL CAUSES OF
THE PROBLEMS FACING US WILL
EVER BE CONSIDERED BY ME AS A
TRUE KINDRED SOUL – OR AS A
POLITICAL CHAMPION FOR THE
FUTURE.
SUCH PRAISE AND ENDORSEMENT
I OFFER ONLY TO THE LIKES OF MY
GOOD FRIEND, THE HONORABLE
CYNTHIA MCKINNEY OF GEORGIA, AND
TO FORMER ASSISTANT
SECRETARY OF HOUSING CATHERINE AUSTIN
FITTS. I HEARTILY RECOMMEND
THEM TO THE CLUB AS POTENTIAL
SPEAKERS FOR FUTURE EVENTS.
I ALSO SAW THE NAMES OF
SPIRITUAL LEADERS AND INDEPENDENT OR
INTERNATIONAL VOICES LIKE AL
FRANKEN, JANE GOODALL, ARIANNA
HUFFINGTON, THE RABBI MICHAEL
LERNER, NORMAN MAILER, TED
TURNER, HANS BLIX AND KING
ABUDULLAH II.
IN LOOKING AT THIS LONG LIST
OF PRESITIGIOUS SPEAKERS I WAS
VERY AWARE THAT THE LIFE’S
WORK OF MICHAEL RUPPERT DID NOT
PLACE ME IN ANY CATEGORY
THAT FIT WITH THESE PEOPLE. FOR THE
MOST PART – I HAVE LONG
CONSIDERED THEM TO BE PART OF A
SERIOUS PROBLEM RATHER THAN
PATHFINDERS TO ITS SOLUTION.
THAT REALIZATION BROUGHT TO
MIND WHAT WAS PERHAPS THE
SINGLE MOST MEMORABLE LINE
FROM THE 1992 VICE-PRESIDENTIAL
DEBATES IN WHICH ROSS
PEROT’S RUNNING MATE, RETIRED NAVY
ADMIRAL JAMES STOCKDALE – A
MEDAL OF HONOR WINNER AND
VIETNAM POW – ASKED, “WHO AM
I?” AND “WHY AM I HERE?”
3
I AM NOT PRONE TO
OVER-ANALYZING SUCH OPPORTUNITIES. I HAVE
ALWAYS SAID THAT, IF GIVEN
THE CHANCE, I WOULD WALK INTO THE
LION’S DEN OR THE DEVIL’S
BEDROOM TO MAKE MY CASE AND THAT IS
WHAT I INTEND TO DO TODAY.
THIS IS AS CLOSE AS I HAVE COME THUS
FAR TO EITHER. FOR HERE, I
CAN SEE TONIGHT PARTS OF THE ELITE
WHOSE CONSCIOUSNESS AND
ATTITUDES MUST BE CHANGED IF
HUMANITY IS TO EVEN
PARTIALLY MEET THE CHALLENGES THAT ARE “IN
OUR FACES.”
FOR ANY OF YOU WHO MIGHT BE
EITHER LIONS OR DEVILS I HOPE THAT
YOU HAVE HAD A GOOD MEAL
RECENTLY AND ALSO THAT YOU HAVE
CHECKED YOUR PITCHFORKS AT
THE DOOR. I ALSO IMPLORE THAT
YOUR EARS BE OPEN AND YOUR
MINDS ACCESSIBLE.
FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO REALIZE
THAT A GLOBAL CRISIS IS CASTING
ITS SHADOW ACROSS THE ENTIRE
PLANET, AND WHO WISH BETTER TO
UNDERSTAND ITS DYNAMICS, I
AM HERE TO OFFER SOME OF MY
EXPERIENCE AND LEARNING AS A
“MAPMAKER” WHO HAS NO
ALLEGIANCE TO PARTISAN
POLITICS OR ANY DESIRE EXCEPT TO TELL
YOU THE TRUTH, NO MATTER HOW
DISQUIETING IT MAY BE, OR HOW
DIVERGENT IT MAY BE FROM
WHATEVER CHERISHED BELIEFS YOU MAY
HOLD; FROM WHATEVER COSOMOLOGICAL
PRINCIPLES YOU MAY
BELIEVE IN; OR FROM WHATEVER
ECONOMIC OR OTHER PERSONAL
INTERESTS YOU MAY HAVE.
A SPIRITUAL TEACHER ONCE
TOLD ME THAT MY PROBLEM WAS NOT
THAT I THOUGHT HIGHLY OF
MYSELF; NOT THAT I THOUGHT LOWLY OF
MYSELF; BUT THAT I THOUGHT
CONSTANTLY OF MYSELF. IN THAT VEIN,
4
LET US ALL TONIGHT TRY TO
THINK OF ISSUES LARGER THAN
OURSELVES, OUR PERSONAL
INTERESTS, OUR WANTS, OR OUR FEARS.
VIEWED FROM ALMOST ANY
PERSPECTIVE; BE IT GEOPOLITICS,
ECONOMICS, CLIMATE,
SPREADING WARFARE THAT THREATENS TO
UNLEASH A GLOBAL ORGY OF
BLOODLETTING, RISING ENERGY PRICES,
DOCUMENTED ENERGY SHORTAGES,
FRESH WATER SHORTAGES,
BIOLOGICAL WARFARE, THE
REPRESSION OF CIVIL LIBERTIES AT HOME
AND ABROAD, OR ANY OF A
DOZEN OTHER ISSUES; PLANET EARTH AND
ALL OF ITS INHABITANTS ARE
IN GREAT DANGER. THIS IS NOT A TIME
TO THINK OF NATIONAL
SECURITY. IT IS A TIME TO THINK OF
PLANETARY SECURITY – INDEED,
OF PLANETARY SURVIVAL.
AND I MUST RECOGNIZE ALSO
THAT I WOULD NEVER HAVE BEEN
AFFORDED THIS INCREDIBLE
OPPORTUNITY TO SPEAK TO YOU TODAY,
HAD IT NOT BEEN FOR THE
CONSISTENT SUPPORT AND GENEROSITY;
THE REASEARH AND ACTIVISM;
THE COURAGE AND
DISENFRANCHISEMENT, AND
ABOVE ALL THE LOYALTY OF ALL THOSE
PEOPLE WHO HAVE HELPED MY
NEWSLETTER, “FROM THE
WILDERNESS”, GROW IN JUST
SIX YEARS FROM 68 TO MORE THAN
15,000 MONTHLY READERS
WORLDWIDE. TODAY OUR WEB SITE AT
WWW.FROMTHEWILDERNESS.COM
AVERAGES MORE THAN 12,000
VISITORS A DAY.
THESE INCLUDE MEMBERS OF
CONGRESS, BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC
LEADERS, PROFESSORS AT MORE
THAN 30 UNIVERSITIES, RESPECTED
JOURNALISTS, AND POLITICAL
LEADERS IN MANY COUNTRIES.
IF ANYTHING HAD AN IMPACT ON
MY THINKING AS I PREPARED THESE
REMARKS IT WAS MY AWARENESS
THAT THESE LOYAL SUPPORTERS
ARE THE PEOPLE ON WHOSE
BEHALF I PRESUME TO SPEAK. IT IS THEIR
5
VOICE AND THEIR COMMITMENT
WHICH HAS GIVEN RISE TO MY VOICE. I
COULD NOT AND WOULD NOT BE
HERE WERE IT NOT FOR THEM.
BUT I ALSO, IF I MAY BE THAT
BOLD, PRESUME TO SPEAK FOR ALL
MANKIND, REGARDLESS OF
RELIGION, ETHNICITY, NATIONALITY,
GENDER, SEXUAL PREFERENCE,
BANK ACCOUNT OR ANY OTHER
ARTIFICIAL DISTINCTION.
THIS IS NO TIME TO BE SHY.
THIS IS NOT A TIME WHEN MEN
AND WOMEN OF GOOD CONSCIENCE
CAN AFFORD TO BE POLITCALLY
CORRECT OR BE GUIDED BY ANYTHING
EXCEPT A WILLINGNESS TO
DISCARD EVERY “CHERISHED” BELIEF OR
OPINION WHICH STANDS IN THE
WAY OF AN ACCURATE AND FEARLESS
APPRAISAL OF THE WORLD
AROUND US.
AS I HAVE SAID SO MANY TIMES
IN THE LAST THREE YEARS WHILE
DELIVERING MORE THAN 40
LECTURES ON THE TRUTH AND LIES OF 9/11
AND PEAK OIL, IN EIGHT
COUNTRIES: THE EVENTS IN THE FIVE YEARS
FOLLOWING THE ATTACKS OF
SEPTEMBER 11TH WILL DETERMINE THE
COURSE OF HUMAN HISTORY FOR
THE NEXT 500 YEARS OR MORE.
I CAN ONLY ASSUME THAT THE
RECORD OF MY LECTURES AND
WRITINGS, WHEREIN I HAVE
COME TO BE KNOWN AS A MAN WHO BACKS
UP EVERYTHING HE SAYS AND
PRESENTS IT TO HIS AUDIENCES FOR
VERFICATION, HAD SOMETHING
TO DO WITH HOW THE BOARD OF
GOVERNORS REACHED ITS
DECISION TO EXTEND THIS INVITATION.
FOR MANY YEARS NOW NOT A
SINGLE FACT, CITATION OR PIECE OF
EVIDENCE, PRESENTED IN MY
LECTURES, OR IN MY BEST-SELLING
VIDEO, “THE TRUTH AND LIES
OF 9/11” HAS BEEN PROVED INACCURATE.
6
I AM KNOWN AS A MAN WHO DOES
NOT EXPECT PEOPLE TO TAKE HIS
WORD ON FAITH BUT WHO ASKS
AND EVEN EXPECTS PEOPLE TO
CHALLENGE HIS RESEARCH,
EVALUATE IT, AND REACH THEIR OWN
CONCLUSIONS.
OPERATING UNDER THE
ASSUMPTION THAT THE PAST CREDIBILITY OF
MY RESEARCH HAS PRODUCED A
RECORD WHICH GOT ME IN THE DOOR
AT THE COMMONWEALTH CLUB, I
AM TODAY, IN THE INTEREST OF TIME
AND FOR MAXIMUM IMPACT,
GOING TO DISPENSE WITH MY CUSTOMARY
SLIDE PRESENTATION. I FULLY
EXPECT THAT ANYONE WHO
CHALLENGES OR DISAGREES WITH
MY ASSERTIONS WILL GO OUT AND
DO SOME CHECKING FOR HIM OR
HER SELF.
ALMOST EVERYTHING I PRESENT
TO YOU TODAY WILL BE FULLY
DOCUMENTED – BY MEANS OF
APPROXIMATELY 1,000 ENDNOTES – IN
MY SOON TO BE RELEASED BOOK,
“CROSSING THE RUBICON: THE
DECLINE OF THE AMERICAN
EMPIRE AT THE END OF THE AGE OF OIL.”
THE BOOK, PUBLISHED BY NEW
SOCIETY PUBLISHERS, SHOULD BE
AVAILABLE FOR SALE FROM THE
FTW WEB SITE WITHIN 2-3 WEEKS AND
IT WILL GO ON SALE
NATIONALLY, THROUGH ALL MAJOR OUTLETS, BY
MID-OCTOBER.
SEPTEMBER 11TH
BOTH HERE IN THE UNITED
STATES AND AROUND THE WORLD I AM NOT
ALONE IN BELIEVING THAT THE
ATTACKS OF SEPTMEBER 11TH WERE
FACILITATED, ORCHESTRATED
AND EXECUTED BY THE UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT. HOWEVER, THERE
IS A GREAT DEAL OF
MISUNDERSTANDING AND
CONCLUSION JUMPING ABOUT THESE
ASSESSMENTS THAT IS NOT
SUPPORTED BY THE EVIDENCE. I WAS
7
TRAINED AS A POLICE OFFICER
AND DETECTIVE, AND FOR MANY YEARS
NOW I HAVE BEEN AN EFFECTIVE
INVESTIGATIVE JOURNALIST BECAUSE
I HAVE ADHERED TO STRICT
EVIDENTIARY AND INVESTIGATIVE
STANDARDS.
THE 9/11 ATTACKS WERE THE
RESULT OF DELIBERATE PLANNING AND
ORCHESTRATED EFFORTS BY
IDENTIFIABLE LEADERS WITHIN THE U.S.
GOVERNMENT, AND THE ENERGY
AND FINANCIAL SECTORS, TO SEE A
PEARL HARBOR-LIKE ATTACK
WHICH WOULD PROVIDE THE AMERICAN
EMPIRE WITH A PRETEXT FOR
WAR, INVASION AND THE SEQUENTIAL
CONFISCATION OF OIL AND
NATURAL GAS RESERVES, OR THE KEY
TRANSPORTATION ROUTES
THROUGH WHICH THEY PASS. 9-11 WAS A
PREMEDITATED MURDER AND IN
MY BOOK, AND HERE TONIGHT, I WILL
NAME SOME OF THE SUSPECTS
WHO COMMITTED THE CRIME. IN MY
BOOK I WILL SHOW YOU
OVERWHELMING EVIDENCE OF THEIR GUILT
WHICH I WOULD BE PROUD AND
CONFIDENT TO PLACE EITHER BEFORE
A DISTRICT ATTORNEY OR A
JURY.
HISTORICALLY, THE ASSERTION
THAT THE UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT WOULD ORCHESTRATE
AN ATTACK UPON AMERICAN
INTERESTS HAS AMPLE
PRECEDENT. FORMER NATIONAL SECURITY
ADVISOR ZBIGNIEW BRZEZINSKI
DESCRIBED THE NEED FOR SUCH AN
EVENT IN SEVERAL PLACES IN
HIS 1997 BOOK “THE GRAND
CHESSBOARD.” IT WAS I WHO
FIRST BROUGHT THIS BOOK TO WORLD
ATTENTION IN LATE 2001. THE PROJECT
FOR A NEW AMERICAN
CENTURY MADE REFERENCE TO
THE NEED FOR SUCH AN ATTACK IN ITS
2000 REPORT “REBUILDING
AMERICA’S DEFENSES.” DECLASSIFIED TOP
SECRET DOCUMENTS DISCLOSED
BY AUTHOR JAMES BAMFORD IN HIS
BOOK, “BODY OF SECRETS” TELL
US THAT IN 1962 THE JOINT CHIEFS
HAD APPROVED A PLAN CALLED
“OPERATION NORTHWOODS” WHICH
WAS A COVERT OPERATION THAT
WOULD SHOOT DOWN AMERICAN
8
AIRCRAFT AND STAGE ATTACKS
ON AMERICAN MILITARY FACILITIES
WITH THE INTENT OF BLAMING
THOSE ATTACKS ON FIDEL CASTRO AND
PROMPTING THE SUBSEQUENT US
INVASION AND OCCUPATION OF
CUBA.
THE DECLASSIFIED NORTHWOODS
DOCUMENTS CAN BE SEEN AND
DOWNLOADED FROM THE FTW WEB
SITE. BUT ONCE VIEWED, THEY
CANNOT BE IGNORED.
THEREFORE IT CANNOT BE SAID
THAT SUCH A THING HAS NEVER BEEN
CONCEIVED OF OR CARRIED OUT
BY AMERICAN POLITICAL LEADERS.
FROM THE SINKING OF THE
BATTLESHIP MAINE, TO THE GULF OF
TONKIN, AND INDEED, EVEN TO
PEARL HARBOR ITSELF, HISTORY TODAY
PROVIDES US WITH ABUNDANT
DOCUMENTATION OF US GOVERNMENT
COMPLICITY IN VARYING
DEGREES IN SIMILAR ATTACKS. THE BOOK
“DAY OF DECEIT” AND OTHER
RECORDS FROM THE NATIONAL ARCHIVES
HAVE SHOWN US THAT THE
ROOSEVELT ADMINISTRATION HAD BROKEN
THE JAPANESE CODES WELL
BEFORE DECEMBER 7TH, AND THAT A
CONSCIOUS DECISION WAS MADE
TO ALLOW THE ATTACK ON PEARL
HARBOR TO TAKE PLACE. THIS
WAS INTENDED TO PROVIDE THE
NECESSARY IMPETUS FOR US
ENTRY INTO THE SECOND WORLD WAR
AT A TIME WHEN GREAT BRITAIN
WAS BUCKLING UNDER THE MILITARY
BLITZKRIEG, AERIAL BOMBING
AND U-BOAT WARFARE OF THE THIRD
REICH.
CROSSING THE RUBICON IS A
DETECTIVE STORY THAT GETS TO THE
INNERMOST CORE OF THE 9/11
ATTACKS. IT PLACES 9/11 AT THE
CENTER OF A DESPERATE NEW
AMERICA, CREATED BY SPECIFIC,
NAMED INDIVIDUALS IN
PREPARATION FOR PEAK OIL: AN ECONOMIC
CRISIS LIKE NOTHING THE
WORLD HAS EVER SEEN.
9
SIMPLY DEFINED, PEAK OIL IS
THAT MOMENT IN TIME WHEN GLOBAL OIL
– AND NATURAL GAS –
PRODUCTION BEGINS AN IRREVERSIBLE AND
PERMANENT DECLINE WHICH WILL
NOT YIELD OR GIVE WAY
REGARDLESS OF HOW MUCH MONEY
AND EFFORT IS SPENT TRYING TO
CHANGE IT.
WITH DEMAND STILL
ACCELERATING RAPIDLY IN BOTH THE US AND THE
INDUSTRIALIZED AND
DEVELOPING WORLD, THE ARRIVAL OF PEAK OIL
LITERALLY DESCRIBES A POINT
OF OVERSHOOT IN WHICH ECONOMIC
AND ECOLOGICAL STASIS – LET
ALONE GROWTH – BECOMES
UNSUSTAINABLE. OVER THE
COURSE OF THE LAST THREE YEARS,
“FROM THE WILDERNESS” HAS
PIONEERED THE INVESTIGATION AND
DOCUMENTATION OF THIS
CRISIS. WITH THE INVALUABLE RESEARCH
AND WRITING OF FTW’S ENERGY
EDITOR DALE ALLEN PFEIFFER, A
GEOLOGIST, AND THROUGH MY
OWN TRAVELS AND RESEARCH IN THE
US, FRANCE AND GERMANY, WE
HAVE DRAWN UPON THE EXPERTISE
OF THOSE WITH DECADES OF
EXPERIENCE IN THE OIL INDUSTRY (MANY
OF WHOM HAVE LEFT IT),
INDEPENDENT SCIENTISTS AND ACADEMICS
HAVING NO CONNECTION TO THE
ENERGY INDUSTRY, BUSINESS AND
FINANCIAL LEADERS,
INTERNATIONAL BODIES SUCH AS THE
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY,
AND ACTUAL WORLD EVENTS TO
DRAW ATTENTION TO WHAT IS
THE SINGLE MOST SERIOUS THREAT
FACING MANKIND IN ITS ENTIRE
HISTORY.
IT IS MY BELIEF, AS I SPEAK
TO YOU TONIGHT THAT PLANET EARTH IS –
PLUS OR MINUS ONE YEAR – AT
THE ALL TIME PEAK OF HYDROCARBON
ENERGY PRODUCTION. SIMPLY
PUT, WE HAVE USED HALF OF ALL THE
OIL GOD PLACED ON THIS
PLANET, AND EVERY DROP, EVERY BARREL
EXTRACTED FROM THE GROUND
FROM NOW ON WILL BECOME
PROGRESSIVELY MORE
EXPENSIVE, OF LESSER QUALITY, AND MUCH
HARDER TO OBTAIN. WE HAVE
PICKED THE LOW HANGING FRUIT. AS
10
ALL EXPERTS AGREE, PEAK IS
SOMETHING WE WILL ONLY KNOW OF A
CERTAINTY AS WE VIEW IT IN OUR
REAR VIEW MIRRORS.
THE ATTACKS OF SEPTEMBER
11TH, 2001 WERE THE PRETEXT FOR THE
AMERICAN, AND TO A LESSER
EXTENT, THE BRITISH AND ISRAELI
EMPIRES TO BEGIN SEIZING, BY
FORCE, THOSE ENERGY SUPPLIES
NEEDED TO SUSTAIN THEIR
POWER, HEGEMONY (WHETHER REGIONAL
OR GLOBAL) AND THEIR
TEETERING ECONOMIES.
THE ATTACKS OF 9/11 WERE
ACCOMPLISHED THROUGH AN AMAZING
ORCHESTRATION OF LOGISTICS
AND PERSONNEL. FORMER NATIONAL
SECURITY AIDE AND
COUNTER-TERROR ADVISOR RICHARD CLARKE
HAS POSTULATED THAT SUCH A
CONSPIRACY COULD NEVER BE KEPT A
SECRET. TOO MANY PEOPLE
WOULD HAVE BEEN INVOLVED, HE SAID.
ON THIS POINT I DISAGREE
WITH CLARKE COMPLETELY AND POINT TO
THE FACT THAT THE MANHATTAN
PROJECT, WHICH DEVELOPED THE
ATOM BOMB AND THE STEALTH
FIGHTER PROJECT WERE BOTH
SUCCESSFULLY KEPT SECRET.
THE NUMBERS OF PEOPLE INVOLVED IN
BOTH OF THOSE PROJECTS FAR
EXCEEDED THE NUMBERS OF PEOPLE
WITHIN THE UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT REQUIRED TO EXECUTE
9/11.
HOWEVER, I MUST EXPRESS A
DEEP DEBT OF GRATITUDE TO CLARKE.
FOR IN HIS BOOK “AGAINST ALL
ENEMIES” HE LEFT A COMPELLING TRAIL
OF BREAD CRUMBS,
CONTRADICTIONS TO THE SWORN TESTIMONY OF
OUR HIGHEST LEADERS, AND
HARD EVIDENCE WHICH PROVIDED ME
WITH MUCH OF THE INFORMATION
NEEDED TO SAY THAT NOT ONLY
CAN I NAME SOME OF THE US
GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS WHO
PERPETRATED THOSE ATTACKS, I
CAN ALSO IDENTIFY THE PRIME
SUSPECT – OR MR. BIG – WHO
PLAYED THE COMMAND ROLE IN
11
EXECUTING THEM. MR. CLARKE
IS NOT A STUPID MAN AND I CAN ONLY
CONCLUDE THAT HE LEFT THOSE
CRUMBS FOR OTHERS TO FIND.
ALL OF THIS OF COURSE STANDS
IN STARK CONTRAST TO THE REPORT
OF THE SO-CALLED INDEPENDENT
COMMISSION WHICH INVESTIGATED
THOSE ATTACKS. BEFORE I
START NAMING NAMES, LET ME FIRST TAKE
A LOOK AT WHY ABSOLUTELY
NOTHING PRESENTED BY THE KEAN
COMMISSION CAN, OR SHOULD,
BE ACCEPTED WITHOUT CHALLENGE.
THE KEAN COMMISSION
A RECENT STORY IN THE
MINNEAPOLIS STAR TRIBUNE REPORTED ON
HOW ONE US SENATOR, MARK
DAYTON OF MINNESOTA, FOUND SOME
EGREGIOUS INCONSISTENCIES IN
THE FINAL REPORT OF THE KEAN
COMMISSION. THE STORY SAID
THAT DURING A RECENT HEARING
EVALUATING THE KEAN REPORT:
“DAYTON TOLD LEADERS OF THE
SEPT. 11 COMMISSION THAT,
BASED ON THE COMMISSION'S
REPORT, A NORAD
CHRONOLOGY MADE PUBLIC A
WEEK AFTER THE ATTACKS
WAS GROSSLY MISLEADING. THE
CHRONOLOGY SAID THE FAA
NOTIFIED THE MILITARY'S
EMERGENCY AIR COMMAND OF
THREE OF THE HIJACKINGS
WHILE THOSE JETLINERS WERE
STILL AIRBORNE. DAYTON CITED
COMMISSION FINDINGS THAT
THE FAA FAILED TO INFORM
NORAD ABOUT THREE OF THE
PLANES UNTIL AFTER THEY HAD
CRASHED.
“AND, HE SAID, A SQUADRON OF
NORAD FIGHTER PLANES
THAT WAS SCRAMBLED WAS SENT
EAST OVER THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN AND WAS 150 MILES FROM
WASHINGTON, D.C., WHEN
12 THE THIRD PLANE STRUCK
THE PENTAGON – ‘FARTHER THAN
THEY WERE BEFORE THEY TOOK
OFF.’
“DAYTON SAID NORAD OFFICIALS
‘LIED TO THE AMERICAN
PEOPLE, THEY LIED TO
CONGRESS AND THEY LIED TO YOUR
9/11 COMMISSION TO CREATE A
FALSE IMPRESSION OF
COMPETENCE, COMMUNICATION
AND PROTECTION OF THE
AMERICAN PEOPLE.’ HE TOLD
KEAN AND HAMILTON THAT IF
THE COMMISSION'S REPORT IS
CORRECT, PRESIDENT BUSH
‘SHOULD FIRE WHOEVER AT FAA,
AT NORAD ... BETRAYED
THEIR PUBLIC TRUST BY NOT
TELLING US THE TRUTH.’”
WHAT SENATOR DAYTON DID NOT
FULLY FOCUS ON WAS THAT, JUST A
FEW SHORT WEEKS BEFORE
RELEASING ITS FINAL REPORT, THE KEAN
COMMISSION UNILATERALLY
CHANGED THE TIMES OF CERTAIN KEY
EVENTS, NEGATING AND
OVERRULING TESTIMONY AND EVIDENCE
PRESENTED UNDER OATH,
WITHOUT HAVING RECEIVED A SINGLE NEW
PIECE OF EVIDENCE – EITHER FORMALLY
OR INFORMALLY – THAT
CONTRADICTED OR CHANGED THE
EVIDENCE ALREADY RECEIVED.
I’M SURE THAT THERE ARE SOME
ATTORNEYS IN THE ROOM TONIGHT. I
WONDER HOW MANY OF YOU WOULD
ACQUIESCE TO THE JUDGE IN A
CRIMINAL TRIAL SUBMITTING
AND RULING ON EVIDENCE THAT NEITHER
THE DEFENSE NOR PROSECUTION
HAD PRESENTED DURING TRIAL, BUT
WHICH THE JUDGE HAD SOMEHOW
PRODUCED, WITHOUT
EXPLANATION, FROM HIS OR HER
CHAMBERS. HOW WOULD YOU REACT
IF THE JUDGE THEN RULED ON
THE BASIS OF THAT EVIDENCE, MAKING
NO ATTEMPT TO RECONCILE THE
EVIDENCE PRESENTED BY EITHER
SIDE?
WHAT WOULD YOU SAY TO THE
JURY?
13 WHILE SENATOR DAYTON WAS
ASTUTE ENOUGH TO NOTE SOME
GLARING INCONSISTENCIES AND
CONTRADICTIONS IN A HIGHLY
MANIPULATED AND FREQUENTLY ALTERED
EVIDENTIARY RECORD, HE
MISSED, OR CHOSE TO IGNORE
OTHER ELEPHANTS SITTING
COMFORTABLY IN THE LIVING
ROOM OF ONE OF THE MOST SHAMELESS
PIECES OF DISHONEST PUBLIC
ACCOUNTING IN AMERICAN HISTORY.
THESE INCLUDE THE FACT THAT
THE COMMISSION INEXPLICABLY
INTRODUCED, AT THE LAST
MINUTE, A COMPLETELY NEW TIMELINE OF
EVENTS SURROUNDING THE
RESPONSES OF THE FAA, NORAD AND THE
PENTAGON ON 9/11 IN DIRECT
CONTRADICTION TO PREVIOUSLY SWORN
TESTIMONY AND EXHIBITS FROM
THESE COMMANDS. IN MOST CASES
THIS EVIDENCE WAS PRESENTED
BY THE SAME MEN WHO ACTUALLY
MADE KEY DECISIONS THAT DAY.
WHY?
IN ITS MERE CONSTITUTION,
THE KEAN COMMISSION’S MEMBERS
WOULD NEVER HAVE BEEN
ALLOWED TO EVEN APPROACH THE BAR OF
JUDICIAL IMPARTIALITY IN AN
AMERICAN COURTROOM TO DECIDE SUCH
AN IMPORTANT CASE. THEY –
EVERY ONE OF THEM, INCLUDING YOUR
TWO RECENT SPEAKERS – WOULD
AND SHOULD HAVE BEEN
IMMEDIATELY DISQUALIFIED
FROM PROVIDING, AS WAS MANDATED BY
LAW, “A FULL ACCOUNTING” OF
THE EVENTS OF SEPTEMBER 11TH.
IN DESCRIBING TO YOU SOME OF
THESE CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, I
WOULD LIKE TO EXPRESS MY
THANKS TO INDEPENDENT JOURNALIST
JIM RAREY WHO DID A
MAGNIFICENT JOB OF CATALOGUING THE
HISTORIES OF THE WOLVES AND
THE FOXES WHO MANAGED THE HEN
HOUSE OF SEPTEMBER 11TH’S
HISTORICAL RECORD.
14
THE FOLLOWING IS ONLY A
PARTIAL DESCRIPTION OF SOME OF THE
MORE OBVIOUS CONFLICTS
WITHIN THE KEAN COMMISSION.
THOMAS KEAN (CHAIRMAN)
THOMAS KEAN IS A DIRECTOR
(AND SHAREHOLDER) OF AMERADA HESS
CORPORATION, WHICH IS INVOLVED
IN THE HESS-DELTA JOINT
VENTURE WITH DELTA OIL OF
SAUDI ARABIA, OWNED BY THE [KHALID]
BIN MAHFOUZ AND AL-AMOUDI
CLANS. THIS COMPANY WAS INVOLVED
IN THE INITIAL PLANNING FOR
A TRANS-AFGHAN OIL PIPELINE JUST
PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 11TH.
KHALID BIN MAHFOUZ, ONCE A SENIOR
EXECUTIVE WITH THE LEGENDARY
ORGANIZED CRIME BANK BCCI, IS
SAUDI ARABIA’S LARGEST
BANKER AND HIS CLIENTS INCLUDE BOTH
THE SAUDI ROYAL FAMILY AND
THE SAUDI BINLADIN GROUP OF
COMPANIES.
COINCIDENTALLY, THE FORMER
GOVERNOR OF NEW JERSEY IS ALSO A
MEMBER OF THE COUNCIL ON
FOREIGN RELATIONS, TOGETHER WITH
ANOTHER PROMINENT MEMBER OF
THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS OF
AMERADA HESS, FORMER
SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY NICHOLAS
BRADY.
IT IS ALSO WORTH MENTIONING
THAT THOMAS KEAN ALSO SITS AS COCHAIRMAN
OF THE HOMELAND SECURITY
PROJECT (HSP) UNDER THE
AUSPICES OF THE CENTURY
FOUNDATION. IN THIS CAPACITY, KEAN
HAS PLAYED A KEY ROLE IN THE
DRAFT RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE
CENTURY FOUNDATION, WHICH
PARTIALLY LAID THE GROUNDWORK OF
THE DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND
SECURITY LEGISLATION.
JOURNALIST WAYNE MADSEN HAS
SHOWN WITH AMPLE
DOCUMENTATION THAT GEORGE W.
BUSH ALSO HAD BUSINESS
15
RELATIONS WITH KHALID BIN
MAHFOUZ, WHEN HE WAS IN THE TEXAS
OIL BUSINESS. BOTH GEORGE W.
BUSH AND KHALID BIN-MAHFOUZ
WERE ALSO IMPLICATED IN THE
BCCI SCANDAL CLOSELY TIED TO THE
IRAN-CONTRA AND SAVINGS AND
LOAN SCANDALS.
OTHER LINKS BETWEEN BUSH AND
MAHFOUZ CAN BE FOUND THROUGH
INVESTMENTS IN THE CARLYLE
GROUP, AN AMERICAN INVESTMENT
FIRM MANAGED BY A BOARD ON WHICH
FORMER PRESIDENT GEORGE
H.W. BUSH HIMSELF ONCE SAT.
THE YOUNGER BUSH PERSONALLY
HELD SHARES IN ONE OF
CARLYLE’S OWNED COMPANIES, CATERAIR,
BETWEEN 1990-94.
LEE HAMILTON (VICE CHAIR)
IN 1987, HOUSE SPEAKER JIM
WRIGHT (WHO LATER RESIGNED IN
DISGRACE) APPOINTED HAMILTON
TO CHAIR A COMMITTEE
INVESTIGATING THE
IRAN/CONTRA AFFAIR.
WHEN A QUESTION WAS RAISED
ABOUT CIA/CONTRA DRUG
SMUGGLING, THE RESPONSE WAS
RELEASE BY HAMILTON OF A
CURSORY REVIEW THAT
CONCLUDED THERE WAS NO TRUTH TO THE
CHARGES. THE CIA RELEASED A
REPORT IN OCTOBER OF 1998
(VOLUME II OF THE CIA
INSPECTOR GENERAL’S REPORT ON IRANCONTRA
DRUG TRAFFICKING), THAT
RECEIVED ALMOST NO PUBLICITY
YET ADMITTED THE DRUG
CONNECTION AND DIRECT CIA INVOLVEMENT
IN THE TRANSSHIPMENT OF
THOUSANDS OF KILOS OF COCAINE.
HAMILTON PLAYED A KEY ROLE
IN THE SO-CALLED OCTOBER SURPRISE
OF 1980-81 IN WHICH IT WAS
CHARGED THAT THE REAGAN-BUSH
CAMPAIGN TEAM WAS REPORTED
TO HAVE SECRETLY NEGOTIATED
WITH IRAN’S REVOLUTIONARY
GOVERNMENT TO DELAY RELEASE OF
16
THE AMERICAN HOSTAGES HELD
AT THE US EMBASSY IN TEHRAN. THE
DEAL WAS THAT THE HOSTAGES
WOULD BE RELEASED AFTER THE
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION SO
THAT JIMMY CARTER COULD NOT BENEFIT
FROM THEIR EMANCIPATION
DURING THE CAMPAIGN. IN THIS
PROGENITOR OF THE IRAN-CONTRA
SCANDAL MILITARY WEAPONS
WERE PROMISED TO THE IRANIAN
GOVERNMENT IN EXCHANGE FOR ITS
COOPERATION. THE EVIDENCE
WAS SERIOUS ENOUGH TO WARRANT
CONGRESSIONAL HEARINGS WHICH
WERE ULTIMATELY CHAIRED BY
THEN CONGRESSMAN HAMILTON.
AS MOST OF US WHO ARE OLD
ENOUGH RECALL, THE HOSTAGES WERE
NOT RELEASED UNTIL THE VERY
DAY OF RONALD REAGAN’S FIRST
INAUGURATION IN JANUARY OF
1981. THIS WAS ONE OF HISTORY’S
GREAT COINCIDENCES.
FOR MORE THAN FOUR DECADES,
VETERAN WASHINGTON JOURNALIST
SARAH MCLENDON WAS THE GRAND
DAME OF THE WHITE HOUSE
PRESS CORPS. UNTIL HER
JANUARY 2003 DEATH (AT 92) SHE WAS A
REVERED AND ACTIVE
JOURNALIST KNOWN FOR HER FEISTY
CONFRONTATIONS WITH
PRESIDENTS AND THE POWERFUL DATING TO
THE TRUMAN ADMINISTRATION. IN
HER LATER YEARS SHE HAD A
GREAT HABIT OF APPEARING TO
BE ASLEEP IN HER WHEELCHAIR UNTIL
THE MOMENT WHEN SHE WOULD
WAKE UP AND POUNCE ON HER PREY
WITH INCISIVE QUESTIONS THAT
REVEALED SHE HADN’T MISSED A
WORD OF WHAT HAD BEEN SAID.
ONCE, ON NATIONAL TELEVISION AND
IN THE MIDDLE OF A LIVE
WHITE HOUSE PRESS CONFERENCE, SHE
EVEN DARED TO QUESTION
PRESIDENT BILL CLINTON ABOUT THE
ABUNDANTLY DOCUMENTED RECORD
OF CIA AND ARKANSAS STATE
GOVERNMENT INVOLVEMENT IN
DRUG SMUGGLING OPERATIONS AT
ARKANSAS’ MENA REGIONAL
INTERMOUNTAIN AIRPORT DURING THE
1980S.
17
IN 1994 AND 1995, WHILE
LIVING IN WASHINGTON, I WAS A REGULAR
ATTENDEE AT MCLENDON’S
WEEKLY STUDY GROUP AT THE NATIONAL
PRESS CLUB AND LATER AT HER
RESIDENCE ON CONNECTICUT
AVENUE. AFTER SHE PASSED,
THE NATIONAL PRESS CLUB RENAMED
ONE OF ITS CONFERENCE ROOMS
AS “THE MCLENDON ROOM.” IN 1992
MCLENDON OFFERED HER
OBSERVATIONS ON HAMILTON’S BEHAVIOR
AS THE CHIEF “FACT-FINDER”
AND CHAIR OF THE OCTOBER SURPRISE
AND IRAN-CONTRA COMMITTEES.
“I DECLINED TO WITHDRAW THE
REPORT I MADE THAT
CONGRESSMAN HYDE ELICITED
AND OBTAINED A PROMISE
FROM CHAIRMAN LEE HAMILTON,
D., IND. OF THE HOUSE TASK
FORCE ON OCTOBER SURPRISE,
THAT THE GROUP WOULD
CLEAR PRESIDENT GEORGE BUSH
OF GOING TO PARIS TO
CINCH A DEAL OF WEAPONS FOR
IRAN IN EXCHANGE FOR
RETAINING AMERICAN HOSTAGES
TO BE DELIVERED TO
PRESIDENT RONALD REAGAN AND
NOT TO OUTGOING
PRESIDENT JIMMY CARTER. HYDE
SAYS HE MADE NO SUCH A
DEAL AND I MUST REMEMBER
THAT HAMILTON IS A
DEMOCRAT. THAT MAKES NO
DIFFERENCE. HAMILTON HELD A
PRESS CONFERENCE TO CLEAR
BUSH BEFORE THE
INVESTIGATION INTO THE DEAL
BETWEEN THE REAGAN-BUSH
CANDIDATES FOR PRESIDENTIAL
OFFICE AND THE IRANIANS
HAD EVEN STARTED. HAMILTON
THEN ADMITTED HE HAD NOT
INTERROGATED WITNESSES OR
TALKED WITH HIS SPECIAL
ATTORNEY HIRED TO
INVESTIGATE THE MATTER.”
IRAN-CONTRA, IN ALL ITS
HORRIFIC CORRUPTION, WAS EFFECTIVELY
“MANAGED” BY LEE HAMILTON IN
THE HOUSE AND JOHN KERRY (AMONG
OTHERS) IN THE SENATE
THROUGHOUT THE LATE 1980s TO CONCEAL
18
THE GREATEST CRIMES OF THE
ERA; CRIMES COMMITTED BY A LITANY
OF WELL-KNOWN GOVERNMENT
OPERATIVES. AT THE TIME, HAMILTON
WAS THE CHAIRMAN OF THE
HOUSE PERMANENT SELECT COMMITTEE
ON INTELLIGENCE.
WHILE MANY ACTIVISTS REGARD 2004
DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE KERRY AS SOMETHING
OF A HERO FOR BRINGING MANY
DETAILS OF IRAN-CONTRA DRUG
ACTIVITIES TO LIGHT (AND INTO THE
PUBLIC RECORD), OTHERS, MORE
DEEPLY VERSED IN THE EVIDENTIARY
RECORD, SUSPECT THAT HE ALSO
DID A MASTERFUL JOB OF KEEPING
SOME OF THE MOST DAMAGING
IRAN-CONTRA SECRETS — ESPECIALLY
RECORDS OF CIA PROPRIETARY
COMPANY OPERATIONS — HIDDEN. I
AM AMONG THE LATTER GROUP.
MANY FIGURES WHO CAME UNDER
CRIMINAL AND INVESTIGATIVE
SCRUTINY IN IRAN-CONTRA,
LIKE JOHN POINDEXTER, ELLIOT ABRAMS,
RICHARD ARMITAGE, DICK
CHENEY, OTTO REICH, COLIN POWELL AND
JOHN NEGROPONTE, RETURNED
(WITH LITTLE OR NO CONGRESSIONAL
OPPOSITION) TO SERVE IN THE
CURRENT BUSH ADMINISTRATION
AFTER THE 2000 (SO-CALLED)
ELECTION.
VETERAN AP JOURNALIST BOB
PARRY, WHO BROKE THE FIRST MAJOR
STORY LINKING DRUG SMUGGLING
TO CONTRA SUPPORT ACTIVITIES,
ONLY TO LATER LOSE HIS JOB,
OFFERED SOME ADDITIONAL
OBSERVATIONS ON LEE HAMILTON
IN HIS INDEPENDENT WEB
NEWSLETTER CONSORTIUM NEWS.
”ONE OF THE KEY
CONGRESSIONAL REPUBLICANS FIGHTING
THIS REAR-GUARD ACTION WAS
REP. DICK CHENEY OF
WYOMING, WHO BECAME THE
RANKING HOUSE REPUBLICAN
19
ON THE IRAN-CONTRA
INVESTIGATION. CHENEY ALREADY
ENJOYED A FAVORABLE
REPUTATION IN WASHINGTON AS A
STEADY CONSERVATIVE HAND.
”CHENEY SMARTLY EXPLOITED
HIS RELATIONSHIP WITH REP.
LEE HAMILTON, D-IND., WHO
WAS CHAIRMAN OF THE IRANCONTRA
PANEL. HAMILTON CARED DEEPLY
ABOUT HIS
REPUTATION FOR
BIPARTISANSHIP AND THE REPUBLICANS
QUICKLY EXPLOITED THIS
FACT.”
NOT ONLY DID HAMILTON FAIL
TO FIND ANY WRONGDOING BY TOP
OFFICIALS IN EITHER
INVESTIGATION, HE WAS EVEN “SATISFIED” WITH
THE PERFORMANCE OF MARINE
LIEUTENANT COLONEL OLIVER NORTH
IN THE IRAN-CONTRA HEARINGS.
AS ONE COMMENTATOR CONNECTED
TO THE NATIONAL SECURITY
ARCHIVES OBSERVED:
“NORTH APPEARS BEFORE THE
HOUSE SELECT COMMITTEE
ON INTELLIGENCE TO ANSWER
QUESTIONS ABOUT HIS ROLE IN
A CONTRA RESUPPLY OPERATION.
HE LIES CONVINCINGLY: HE
HAS "NOT IN ANY WAY, AT
ANY TIME VIOLATE[D] THE
PRINCIPLES OR LEGAL
REQUIREMENTS OF THE BOLAND
AMENDMENT," WHICH BANS
FEDERAL SUPPORT FOR THE
NICARAGUAN
COUNTERREVOLUTIONARIES. COMMITTEE
CHAIRMAN LEE HAMILTON,
D-IND., PRONOUNCES HIMSELF
SATISFIED WITH NORTH'S
"GOOD FAITH." WHEN NORTH'S
SUPERIOR, JOHN POINDEXTER,
IS TOLD OF HIS SUCCESSFUL
DECEPTION OF CONGRESS,
POINDEXTER E-MAILS OLLIE: ‘WELL
DONE.’”
PHILIP ZELIKOW (EXECUTIVE
DIRECTOR)
20
PERHAPS NO MORE GLARING
CONFLICT OF INTEREST ATTRACTED
OPPOSITION FROM VICTIM
FAMILIES AND 9/11 ACTIVISTS THAN THAT OF
THE COMMISSION’S EXECUTIVE
DIRECTOR PHILIP ZELIKOW. CONCERNS
WERE RAISED WHEN IT WAS
DISCLOSED THAT ONLY TWO COMMISSION
MEMBERS AND ZELIKOW MIGHT BE
ALLOWED TO SEE CERTAIN
CLASSIFIED PRESIDENTIAL
RECORDS, INCLUDING THE MUCH
BALLYHOOED AND PUBLICLY
DEBATED PRESIDENTIAL DAILY BRIEFING
(PDB) OF AUGUST 6, 2001.
PERSONALLY, I VIEWED THE
AUGUST 6TH PDB AS A RED HERRING AND A
HUBRISTIC PRETEXT OVER WHICH
THE COMMISSION COULD MAKE A
SHOW OF “BATTLING” THE WHITE
HOUSE FOR INFORMATION. THE PDB,
TITLED, “BIN LADEN
DETERMINED TO STRIKE IN US” WAS EVENTUALLY
RELEASED IN A ONE AND A HALF
PAGE VERSION THAT WAS PRESENTED
TO THE WORLD AS “COMPLETE.”
NOTHING COULD HAVE BEEN
FURTHER FROM THE TRUTH. THE
RESPECTED GERMAN PAPER DIE
ZEIT PUBLISHED A STORY IN OCTOBER
OF 2002, WELL BEFORE THE PDB
BECAME AN ISSUE, STATING THAT THE
PDB WAS ACTUALLY ELEVEN AND
ONE HALF PAGES LONG. SINCE I HAD
DOCUMENTED SO MANY OTHER
CLEAR, DIRECT AND CREDIBLE AND
APPARENTLY MORE DETAILED
WARNINGS OF THE 9/11 ATTACKS, THE
AUG 6 PDB WAS A NON-ISSUE
FOR ME. IN “CROSSING THE RUBICON” I
WILL DOCUMENT MORE THAN A
DOZEN SPECIFIC WARNINGS WHICH
FORETOLD HIJACKED AIRLINERS
BEING CRASHED INTO THE WORLD
TRADE CENTER DURING THE WEEK
OF SEPTEMBER 9TH. OTHER
WARNINGS, SUCH AS MASSIVE
INSIDER TRADING ON FINANCIAL
MARKETS FROM HONG KONG TO
TOKYO, TO CHICAGO, TO NEW YORK,
TO LONDON AND BERLIN TOLD
THOSE WHO WERE WATCHING THAT THE
AIRLINES INVOLVED WOULD BE
UNITED AND AMERICAN.
21
THE INSIDER TRADING,
ACKNOWLEDGED AND DOCUMENTED BY THE
LIKES OF CBS NEWS,
BLOOMBERG, AND RESPECTED FINANCIAL
COMMENTATORS WAS GIVEN THE
COMPLETE BRUSH OFF BY THE KEAN
COMMISSION IN ITS FINAL
REPORT. ALL IT SAID WAS THAT OSAMA BIN
LADEN AND AL QAEDA DID NOT
MAKE THE TRADES. IN MY BOOK I WILL
GIVE YOU AN IDEA OF WHO DID.
THE CONTROVERSY ARISING FROM
THE PUBLIC DEBATE OVER ZELIKOW
FORCED EVEN THE NEW YORK
TIMES TO COMMENT ON SOME OF HIS
MORE OBVIOUS CONFLICTS OF
INTEREST.
“ADVOCATES FOR THE FAMILIES
SAID THEY WERE ALARMED
BY THE COMMISSION’S
DISCLOSURE ON THURSDAY THAT
ONLY ONE OF THE 10
COMMISSIONERS WOULD HAVE ACCESS
TO A WIDE RANGE OF THE
BRIEFINGS, AND THAT THE ONLY
PERSON FROM THE COMMISSION
WITH SIMILAR ACCESS
WOULD BE ITS STAFF DIRECTOR,
PHILIP ZELIKOW, WHO HAS
CLOSE TIES TO CONDOLEEZZA
RICE AND OTHER SENIOR
OFFICIALS IN THE BUSH
ADMINISTRATION.
“THE COMMISSION HAS
PREVIOUSLY REJECTED A REQUEST
FROM VICTIMS’ FAMILIES TO
LIMIT MR. ZELIKOW’S
RESPONSIBILITIES SHARPLY IN
LIGHT OF POTENTIAL CONFLICT
OF INTERESTS INVOLVING THE
WHITE HOUSE.
“THE FAMILIES’ ADVOCATES
SAID THE DECISION TO HAVE MR.
ZELIKOW BE ONE OF ONLY TWO
COMMISSION OFFICIALS WITH
WIDE ACCESS TO THE HIGHLY
CLASSIFIED DOCUMENTS — THE
OTHER IS JAMIE S. GORELICK,
A DEMOCRATIC COMMISSION
MEMBER WHO WAS DEPUTY
ATTORNEY GENERAL IN THE
22
CLINTON ADMINISTRATION —
RAISED NEW QUESTIONS ABOUT
THE INVESTIGATION’S
IMPARTIALITY…
“MR. ZELIKOW, WHO WROTE A
BOOK WITH MS. RICE IN 1995,
WAS ON THE BUSH
ADMINISTRATION’S TRANSITION TEAM FOR
THE NATIONAL SECURITY
COUNCIL AND HAS ACKNOWLEDGED
HAVING CONTACTS EARLIER THIS
YEAR WITH KARL ROVE,
PRESIDENT BUSH’S CHIEF
POLITICAL ADVISER, ABOUT MR.
ZELIKOW’S SCHOLARLY WORK AT
THE UNIVERSITY OF
VIRGINIA.
WHAT’S MORE, ZELIKOW HAD
BEEN SERVING AS A MEMBER OF
PRESIDENT BUSH’S FOREIGN INTELLIGENCE
ADVISORY BOARD (PFIAB)
SINCE 2001 AND HE ALSO MADE
A SEPTEMBER 2002 PUBLIC STATEMENT
SAYING THAT US MILITARY
ACTION AGAINST IRAQ WOULD BE BASED
UPON A DESIRE TO PROTECT
ISRAELI INTERESTS RATHER THAN ANY
REAL THREAT FROM IRAQ.
PERHAPS THE WORST CONFLICT
OF INTEREST WAS THE FACT THAT
ZELIKOW HAD ADVISED THE
INCOMING BUSH ADMINISTRATION ON
TERROR-RELATED INTELLIGENCE
MATTERS AND HAD SEVERAL
DISCUSSIONS ABOUT BIN LADEN
AND AL QAEDA IN 2000-2001 WITH
RICHARD CLARKE. BY RIGHTS,
HE SHOULD HAVE BEEN A WITNESS
TESTIFYING UNDER OATH BEFORE
THE COMMISSION INSTEAD OF ITS
EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR. WHEN
MANY OF THE VICTIM FAMILIES LEARNED
OF THIS THEY WERE
JUSTIFIABLY OUTRAGED AT AN ARRANGEMENT
THAT WOULD HAVE NEVER BEEN
PERMITTED IN A COURT OF LAW.
IN SPITE OF ALL THE
CONTROVERSY, AND CALLS FROM MANY FOR HIS
RESIGNATION, ZELIKOW REMAINS
SECURELY IN PLACE AT THE KEAN
COMMISSION TO THIS DAY.
23 JAMIE GORELICK
FREELANCE JOURNALIST JIM
RAREY WRITES:
“CONSIDERED ONE OF THE FIFTY
MOST POWERFUL WOMEN IN
THE COUNTRY, CFR MEMBER
JAMIE GORELICK IS CURRENTLY
VICE-CHAIR OF THE GIANT
MORTGAGE LENDER AND INSURER
FANNIE MAE. FROM MARCH 1994
UNTIL SHE JOINED FANNIE
MAE IN MAY 1997 SHE WAS
DEPUTY ATTORNEY GENERAL, THE
NUMBER TWO SPOT IN JANET
RENO’S DEPARTMENT OF
JUSTICE.
“IN MAY 1995, THE
INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY LAW
ENFORCEMENT POLICY BOARD WAS
ESTABLISHED TO MEET
QUARTERLY AND DISCUSS MUTUAL
CONCERNS OF THE
ATTORNEY GENERAL AND
DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE. THE BOARD WAS
CO-CHAIRED BY GORELICK
AND DCI GEORGE TENET. OTHER
MEMBERS INCLUDED ALL OF
THE LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCIES, THE ASSISTANT
SECRETARY OF STATE FOR
INTELLIGENCE AND RESEARCH
AND THE DEFENSE DEPARTMENT
GENERAL COUNSEL.
“THIS IS THE SAME TIME FRAME
(SPRING OF 1995) IN WHICH
THE PHILIPPINE GOVERNMENT
APPRISED THE FBI, CIA AND
STATE DEPARTMENT OF “PROJECT
BOJINKA” AN ISLAMIC
TERRORIST PLOT WHICH
INCLUDED HIJACKING COMMERCIAL
AIRLINERS AND FLYING THEM
INTO THE PENTAGON, WORLD
TRADE CENTER TOWERS AND,
SEVERAL OTHER BUILDINGS.
“THE BCCI SCANDAL INVOLVED A
NUMBER OF POWERFUL
INDIVIDUALS. CLARK CLIFFORD
AND ROBERT ALTMAN WERE
24
THE TOP TWO OFFICERS IN
FIRST AMERICAN, THE NEW NAME
GIVEN FINANCIAL GENERAL
BANKSHARES WHEN IT WAS TAKEN
OVER BY BCCI (KNOWN AS THE
BANK OF CROOKS AND
CRIMINALS INTERNATIONAL IN
THE CORRIDORS OF
WASHINGTON) WITH THE HELP OF
THE JACKSON
STEPHENS/LIPPO WORTHEN BANK
AND THE ROSE LAW FIRM.
“FIRST AMERICAN IS SAID TO
HAVE BEEN USING THE
NOTORIOUS PROMIS SOFTWARE.
I WILL HAVE A GREAT DEAL TO
SAY ABOUT THIS LEGENDARY
“SPYWARE” IN “CROSSING THE
RUBICON.”
BACK TO JIM RAREY:
“WHEN BCCI AND FIRST
AMERICAN WERE EXPOSED, THE
LEGAL DEFENSE TEAM FOR CLARK
CLIFFORD AND ROBERT
ALTMAN ATTRACTED A BEVY OF
WELL-KNOWN NAMES
INCLUDING ROBERT FISKE (LATER
THE FIRST “INDEPENDENT
COUNSEL” INVESTIGATING
WHITEWATER AND VINCE FOSTER’S
“SUICIDE”), ROBERT BENNETT
(LATER ATTORNEY FOR BILL
CLINTON), AND JAMIE
GORELICK…
“IN 1998, WHILE AT FANNIE
MAE, GORELICK SERVED ON
CLINTON’S CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE NATIONAL SECURITY
ADVISORY PANEL AS WELL AS
THE PRESIDENT’S REVIEW OF
INTELLIGENCE.”
AT ONE POINT IN THE KEAN
COMMISSION HEARINGS, A BRIEF STIR WAS
CAUSED WHEN REPUBLICAN
PARTISANS CHARGED THAT GORELICK
BORE SOME PERSONAL BLAME FOR
THE ATTACKS BY VIRTUE OF
25
HAVING CREATED AN
“INTELLIGENCE WALL” BETWEEN THE FBI AND THE
CIA.
THERE WAS NO WALL. A 2001
RAND CORPORATION STUDY, WHICH I
QUOTE IN MY BOOK, OFFERED
GREAT PRAISE FOR THE WORKING
RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN THE
FBI AND THE CIA. IT DOCUMENTS A
NUMBER OF INSTANCES WHERE
SUCCESSFUL COOPERATION AND
INFORMATION SHARING BETWEEN
THE BUREAU AND THE CIA ACTUALLY
PREVENTED A NUMBER OF AL
QAEDA AND OTHER TERRORIST ATTACKS
AGAINST US INTERESTS.
THERE IS ALSO NO WALL
BETWEEN THE KEAN COMMISSION AND THE
GOVERNMENT IT HAS BEEN
CHARGED WITH INVESTIGATING.
GORELICK ALSO HAS OIL
CONNECTIONS. MRS GORELICK SITE ON THE
BOARD OF THE WORLD’S PREMIER
OIL DRILLING FIRM,
SCHLUMBERGER.
GORELICK WAS ONE OF FOUR
COMMISSION MEMBERS ALLOWED TO
REVIEW PRESIDENTIAL
INTELLIGENCE RECORDS AND MAKE NOTES
BEFORE REPORTING TO THE
COMMISSION. IT APPEARS THAT THE
WHITE HOUSE HAD VERY LITTLE
TO WORRY ABOUT.
LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT YOUR
RECENT GUESTS WHO CAME HERE
PROMOTING THE FINAL 9/11
REPORT. JIM RAREY TELLS US:
RICHARD BEN-VENISTE
BEN-VENISTE IS A
HIGH-VISIBILITY WASHINGTON ATTORNEY
AND DEMOCRATIC POWER BROKER.
HE WAS DEMOCRAT
COUNSEL TO THE SENATE
WHITEWATER INVESTIGATION
26 WHERE HE BLOCKED
INQUIRIES ABOUT WEBSTER HUBBELL’S
HIRING BY THE LIPPO GROUP
AND OTHERS ADMINISTERED BY
TRUMAN ARNOLD.
ACCORDING TO INVESTIGATIVE
JOURNALIST DANIEL
HOPSICKER, BEN-VENISTE THEN
TURNED AROUND AND
DEFENDED ARNOLD (THE MAN HE
WAS SUPPOSED TO BE
INVESTIGATING) BEFORE KEN
STARR’S WHITEWATER GRAND
JURY, FOR WHICH HE WAS ROUNDLY
CRITICIZED.
HOPSICKER ALSO REVEALS THAT
ARNOLD HAD FURNISHED A
$2 MILLION AIRPLANE TO HIS
FRIEND WALLY HILLIARD FOR $1.
HILLIARD, HOPSICKER SAYS,
OWNED THE FLIGHT SCHOOL IN
VENICE, FLORIDA WHERE
(ACCORDING TO OFFICIAL
ACCOUNTS) FOUR OF THE ISLAMIC
TERRORIST PILOTS WERE
TRAINED THAT FLEW THE
SUICIDE MISSIONS ON 9/11.
ANOTHER OF BEN-VENISTE’S
CLIENTS WAS BARRY SEAL, THE
DRUG RUNNING CIA ASSET OF
IRAN/CONTRA AND MENA,
ARKANSAS NOTORIETY. IN FACT,
HOPSICKER RELATES BENVENISTE
TOLD THE WALL STREET
JOURNAL, “I DID MY PART BY
LAUNCHING HIM (SEAL) INTO
THE ARMS OF VICE PRESIDENT
BUSH WHO EMBRACED HIM AS AN
UNDERCOVER OPERATIVE.”
SLADE GORTON
SLADE GORTON IS A FORMER
SENATOR FROM THE STATE OF
WASHINGTON. AFTER HE LOST
HIS REELECTION BID IN 2000,
HE JOINED THE SEATTLE LAW
FIRM OF PRESTON, GATES &
ELLIS, WHICH SPECIALIZES IN
ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES.
27
IF JURY SELECTION RULES WERE
BEING USED, GORTON
WOULD PROBABLY BE DISMISSED
FROM CONSIDERATION FOR
THE COMMISSION FOR CAUSE [A
TECHNICAL TERM FOR
CONFLICT OF INTEREST]. TWO
DAYS AFTER THE 9/11 ATTACKS
HE TOLD A PUBLIC-TELEVISION
AUDIENCE THERE WAS
NOTHING GOVERNMENT
INTELLIGENCE OFFICIALS COULD
HAVE DONE TO THWART THE
ATTACK, ACCORDING TO THE
SEATTLE TIMES. THE TIMES
QUOTES GORTON AS SAYING, “I
DOUBT WE CAN EXPECT TO GET
TOO MUCH INSIDE
INFORMATION NO MATTER WHAT
WE DO.”
GORTON SERVED TWO YEARS ON
THE SENATE INTELLIGENCE
COMMITTEE. HE SAYS THAT
EXPERIENCE AND HIS PERSONAL
FRIENDSHIP WITH TRENT LOTT
WERE RESPONSIBLE FOR HIS
APPOINTMENT BY LOTT.
EVERY COMMISSION MEMBER HAS
DEEP CONFLICTS OF INTEREST WITH
RESPECT TO 9/11 AND ITS
INVESTIGATION OF THE GOVERNMENT
AGENCIES CHARGED WITH
PROTECTING THE AMERICAN PEOPLE THAT
DAY. I WILL DISCUSS ALL OF
THEM IN MY BOOK. ONE, APPARENTLY,
WHO DID NOT, IS FORMER
GEORGIA SENATOR MAX CLELAND, WHO AT
ONE POINT CALLED THE
COMMISSION A SHAM. CLELAND RESIGNED
FROM THE COMMISSION BEFORE
ITS INVESTIGATION WAS COMPLETE.
WHAT HAPPENED ON 9/11?
28
WHILE THESE ATTACKS WERE
ARGUABLY ONE OF THE MOST SERIOUS
HOMICIDES EVER COMMITTED,
THE INVESTIGATION AND
"PROSECUTION" OF
THAT CASE BY MEANS OTHER THAN DICK CHENEY'S
"WAR THAT WILL NOT END
IN OUR LIFETIMES" HAS NEVER EVEN
APPROACHED THE LEGAL AND
LOGICAL STANDARDS GOVERNING ALL
SUCH INVESTIGATIONS. NO REAL
CASE HAS EVER BEEN MADE THAT
WOULD PASS FIRST MUSTER OF
EVEN A JUNIOR ASSISTANT DISTRICT
ATTORNEY.
WITHOUT SUCH A COURT
PROCESS, WE ARE FORCED TO EMPLOY
ANALOGIES AND METAPHORS. BUT
THERE REMAINS TO US THE MOST
SUCCESSFUL, FUNDAMENTAL
STRATEGY FOR THE PROSECUTION OF
CRIMINAL BEHAVIOR:
DEMONSTRATING THAT A SUSPECT (OR
SUSPECTS) DID, OR DID NOT,
POSSESS THE MEANS, MOTIVE, AND
OPPORTUNITY TO COMMIT THE
CRIME.
TO DATE, THE CASE THAT 9/11
WAS PERPETRATED SOLELY BY OSAMA
BIN LADEN AND AL QAEDA HAS
NEVER BEEN PROVED, EVEN TO THE
MOST RUDIMENTARY STANDARDS.
IN FACT, SOME 35 MONTHS AFTER
THE ATTACKS THERE HAS NOT
BEEN A SINGLE SUCCESSFUL 9/11
PROSECUTION ANYWHERE IN THE
WORLD. THE ONLY CONVICTION
THAT HAD BEEN SECURED, A
GERMAN PROSECUTION AGAINST MOUNIR
EL MOTASSADEQ, CHARGED WITH
AIDING THE SO CALLED HAMBURG
CELL OF MOHAMMED ATTA, WAS
OVERTURNED IN 2004 BECAUSE THE
US GOVERNMENT REFUSED TO
PRODUCE KEY WITNESSES SUCH AS
KHALID SHAIKH MUHAMMAD OR
RAMZI BIN AL-SHIBH AND OTHER
EVIDENCE RELEVANT TO THE
CHARGES. EVERY DEFENDANT IN A
WESTERN CRIMINAL CASE HAS
THE RIGHT TO EXAMINE THE EVIDENCE
USED AGAINST HIM AND TO
CROSS-EXAMINE WITNESSES.
TO THE GENERAL PUBLIC AS
WELL AS TO THE 9/11 RESEARCH
COMMUNITY, THE MYSTERIOUS
AND INEXPLICABLE FAILURE OF THE
NATION’S AIR DEFENSES THAT
DAY REMAINS THE MOST GLARING AND
GAPING HOLE IN THE KEAN
COMMISSION’S ACCOUNT AND IN THE
GOVERNMENT’S VERSION OF
EVENTS. SCRAMBLING FIGHTER
AIRCRAFT WAS A ROUTINE
OCCURRENCE FOR YEARS BEFORE 9/11.
29
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS HAS
TOLD US THAT FIGHTER AIRCRAFT WERE
SCRAMBLED AND FLYING BESIDE
ERRANT COMMERCIAL AND PRIVATE
AIR TRAFFIC WITHIN MINUTES
OF THE SLIGHTEST DEVIATION SOME 67
TIMES IN THE CALENDAR YEAR
PRECEDING JUNE 1 2001. THIS IS ONE
OF MANY AREAS WHERE THE KEAN
COMMISSION NOT ONLY FAILED TO
LOOK BUT ACTUALLY ALTERED
EVIDENCE IN THE PREPARATION OF ITS
FINAL REPORT.
FOR ME, THE PIVOTAL EVIDENCE
ABSOLUTELY DEMONSTRATING
DIRECT GOVERNMENT COMPLICITY
IN, AND MANAGEMENT OF, THE
ATTACKS WAS FOUND IN A
NUMBER OF UNDISPUTED, YET VIRTUALLY
UNADDRESSED WARGAMES THAT I
WILL SHOW WERE BEING
CONDUCTED, COORDINATED
AND/OR CONTROLLED BY VICE PRESIDENT
DICK CHENEY OR HIS IMMEDIATE
STAFF ON THE MORNING OF
SEPTEMBER 11TH. THE NAMES OF
THOSE WARGAMES ARE KNOWN TO
INCLUDE: VIGILANT GUARDIAN,
VIGILANT WARRIOR, NORTHERN
GUARDIAN, NORTHERN
VIGILANCE, AND TRIPOD II. ALL HAVE BEEN
REPORTED ON BY MAJOR PRESS
ORGANIZATIONS RELYING ON
UNDISPUTED QUOTES FROM
PARTICIPATING MILITARY PERSONNEL.
THEY HAVE ALSO BEEN
CONFIRMED BY NORAD PRESS RELEASES. ALL,
EXCEPT FOR NORTHERN
VIGILANCE AND TRIPOD II HAD TO DO WITH
HIJACKED AIRLINERS INSIDE
THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES,
SPECIFICALLY WITHIN THE
NORTHEAST AIR DEFENSE SECTOR WHERE
ALL FOUR 9/11 HIJACKINGS
OCCURRED.
ACCORDING TO A CLEAR RECORD
SOME OF THESE EXERCISES
INVOLVED COMMERCIAL AIRLINE
HIJACKINGS. IN SOME CASES FALSE
BLIPS WERE DELIBERATELY
INSERTED ONTO FAA AND MILITARY RADAR
SCREENS AND THEY WERE
PRESENT DURING (AT LEAST) THE FIRST
ATTACKS. THIS EFFECTIVELY PARALYZED
FIGHTER RESPONSE
BECAUSE, WITH ONLY EIGHT
FIGHTERS AVAILABLE IN THE REGION,
30
THERE WERE AS MANY AS 22
POSSIBLE HIJACKINGS TAKING PLACE.
OTHER EXERCISES,
SPECIFICALLY NORTHERN VIGILANCE HAD PULLED
SIGNIFICANT FIGHTER
RESOURCES AWAY FROM THE NORTHEAST U.S.
– JUST BEFORE 9/11 – INTO
NORTHERN CANADA AND ALASKA. IN
ADDITION, A CLOSE READING OF
KEY NEWS STORIES PUBLISHED IN THE
SPRING OF 2004 REVEALED FOR
THE FIRST TIME THAT SOME OF THESE
DRILLS WERE “LIVE-FLY”
EXERCISES WHERE ACTUAL AIRCRAFT, LIKELY
FLOWN BY REMOTE CONTROL –
WERE SIMULATING THE BEHAVIOR OF
HIJACKED AIRLINERS IN REAL
LIFE. ALL OF THIS AS THE REAL ATTACKS
BEGAN. THE FACT THAT THESE
EXERCISES HAD NEVER BEEN
SYSTEMATICALLY AND
THOROUGHLY EXPLORED IN THE MAINSTREAM
PRESS, OR PUBLICLY BY
CONGRESS, OR AT LEAST PUBLICLY IN ANY
DETAIL BY THE SO-CALLED
INDEPENDENT 9/11 COMMISSION MADE ME
THINK THAT THEY MIGHT BE THE
HOLY GRAIL OF 9/11.
THAT’S EXACTLY WHAT THEY
TURNED OUT TO BE.
ONLY ONE WARGAME EXERCISE,
VIGILANT GUARDIAN, WAS MENTIONED
IN A FOOTNOTE TO THE KEAN
COMMISSION REPORT AND THEN IT WAS
DELIBERATELY MISLABELED AS
AN EXERCISE INTENDED TO INTERCEPT
RUSSIAN BOMBERS INSTEAD OF A
HIJACK EXERCISE IN THE
NORTHEAST SECTOR. EVEN THEN,
A DELIBERATE LIE WAS TOLD TO
THE AMERICAN PEOPLE AS NORAD
COMMANDER RALPH EBERHART
TESTIFIED TO THE COMMISSION
THAT THE EXERCISE ACTUALLY
EXPEDITED US AIR FORCE
RESPONSE DURING THE ATTACKS.
WHEN MICHAEL KANE, A
BRILLIANT YOUNG NEW YORK ACTIVIST AND
BUDDING INVESTIGATIVE
REPORTER APPROACHED GENERAL
EBERHART ON AN FTW
ASSIGNMENT AT THE CONCLUSION OF THE
COMMISSION’S LAST PUBLIC
HEARING AND ASKED FOR INFORMATION
31
ON THE OTHER EXERCISES,
EBERHART’S ONLY RESPONSE WAS, “NO
COMMENT.”
AND AN ADDITIONAL
NON-MILITARY BIOWARFARE EXERCISE CALLED
TRIPOD II, BEING “SET UP” IN
MANHATTAN ON SEPTEMBER 11TH WAS
UNDER THE DIRECT
COORDINATION OF FEMA AND – BY WHITE HOUSE
DIRECTIVE – THE IMMEDIATE
CONTROL OF THE VICE PRESIDENT. THE
SET UP FOR THAT EXERCISE
CONVENIENTLY PLACED A FULLY STAFFED
FEMA, NEW YORK CITY AND
DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE COMMAND POST
ON MANHATTAN’S PIER 29 IN
TIME FOR IT TO BE CONVENIENTLY USED
AS THE COMMAND POST AFTER
THE TWIN TOWERS HAD COLLAPSED.
THERE ARE MANY, MANY AREAS
WHERE THE OFFICIAL ACCOUNT AND
THE FINDINGS OF THE KEAN COMMISSION
ARE CONTRADICTED BY
HARD EVIDENCE, OFFICIAL
RECORDS, MAINSTREAM NEWS
INVESTIGATIONS AND EVEN
SWORN TESTIMONY. BOTH THE LOS
ANGELES TIMES AND THE NEW
YORK TIMES HAVE NOTED SOME OF THE
LESSER, BUT NO LESS GLARING,
INCONSISTENCIES. IN MY BOOK I WILL
PROVIDE YOU WITH MANY MORE.
IN MY BOOK I WILL MAKE
SEVERAL KEY POINTS:
1. I WILL NAME RICHARD
CHENEY AS THE PRIME SUSPECT IN THE MASS
MURDERS OF 9/11 AND WILL
ESTABLISH THAT, NOT ONLY WAS HE A
PLANNER IN THE ATTACKS, BUT
ALSO THAT ON THE DAY OF THE
ATTACKS HE WAS RUNNING A
COMPLETELY SEPARATE COMMAND,
CONTROL AND COMMUNICATIONS
SYSTEM WHICH WAS SUPERCEDING
ANY ORDERS BEING ISSUED BY
THE NMCC, OR THE WHITE HOUSE
SITUATION ROOM. TO
ACCOMPLISH THAT END HE RELIED ON A
REDUNDANT AND SUPERIOR COMMUNICATIONS
SYSTEM MAINTAINED
BY THE US SECRET SERVICE IN
OR NEAR THE PRESIDENTIAL
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER
– THE BUNKER TO WHICH HE AND
32
NATIONAL SECURITY ADVISOR
CONDOLEEZZA RICE WERE REPORTEDLY
“RUSHED” AFTER FLIGHT 175
STRUCK THE WTC’S SOUTH TOWER. I WILL
DEMONSTRATE THAT THE SECRET
SERVICE POSSESSED RADAR
SCREENS WHICH GAVE THEM, AND
THE VICE PRESIDENT, WHOSE SIDE
THE NEVER LEFT, WITH
REAL-TIME INFORMATION AS GOOD AS OR
BETTER THAN THAT AVAILABLE
TO THE PENTAGON;
2. I WILL DEMONSTRATE THAT
IN WHAT ARE CALLED NATIONAL SPECIAL
SECURITY EVENTS THE US
SECRET SERVICE IS THE SUPREME US
AGENCY FOR OPERATIONAL
CONTROL WITH COMPLETE AUTHORITY
OVER THE MILITARY AND ALL
CIVILIAN AGENCIES.
3. I WILL ESTABLISH
CONCLUSIVELY THAT IN MAY OF 2001, BY
PRESIDENTIAL ORDER, RICHARD
CHENEY WAS PUT IN DIRECT
COMMAND AND CONTROL OF ALL
WARGAME AND FIELD EXERCISE
TRAINING AND SCHEDULING
THROUGH SEVERAL AGENCIES,
ESPECIALLY FEMA. THIS ALSO
EXTENDED TO ALL OF THE CONFLICTING
AND OVERLAPPING NORAD DRILLS
ON THAT DAY.
4. I WILL ALSO DEMONSTRATE
THAT THE TRIPOD II EXERCISE BEING
SET UP ON SEPT. 10TH IN
MANHATTAN WAS DIRECTLY CONNECTED TO
CHENEY'S ROLE IN NUMBER 3
ABOVE.
5. I WILL ALSO PROVE
CONCLUSIVELY THAT A NUMBER OF PUBLIC
OFFICIALS, AT THE NATIONAL
AND NEW YORK CITY LEVELS, INCLUDING
THEN MAYOR RUDOLPH GIULIANI,
WERE AWARE THAT FLIGHT 175 WAS
EN ROUTE TO LOWER MANHATTAN
FOR 20 MINUTES AND DID NOTHING –
ABSOLUTELY NOTHING – TO
ORDER THE EVACUATION OF OR WARN THE
OCCUPANTS OF THE WORLD TRADE
CENTER. ONE MILITARY OFFICER
WAS FORCED TO LEAVE HIS POST
IN THE MIDDLE OF THE ATTACKS AND
PLACE A PRIVATE CALL TO HIS
BROTHER - WHO WORKED AT THE WTC -
33
WARNING HIM TO GET OUT. THAT
WAS APPARENTLY AN ACT OF
DESPERATION BECAUSE NO OTHER
PART OF THE SYSTEM WAS TAKING
ACTION.
6. I WILL ALSO SHOW THAT THE
ISRAELI AND BRITISH GOVERNMENTS
ACTED AS PARTNERS WITH THE
HIGHEST LEVELS OF THE AMERICAN
GOVERNMENT TO HELP IN THE
PREPARATION AND, VERY POSSIBLY,
THE ACTUAL EXECUTION OF THE
ATTACKS."
ISRAEL
I MUST NOW DIGRESS TO SAY A
FEW WORDS ABOUT ISRAEL.
ISRAEL IS A COUNTRY. JUDAISM
IS A RELIGION.
IT IS NO MORE PROPER TO SAY
THAT THE ACTIONS OF THE ISRAELI
GOVERNMENT ARE ABOVE
CRITICISM THAN IT IS TO SAY THAT
CRITICISM OF THE AMERICAN
GOVERNMENT IS A CRITICISM OF ALL
AMERICANS.
THERE ARE MANY DIRECT
CONNECTIONS BETWEEN ISRAELI
INTELLIGENCE ACTIVITIES AND
THE EVENTS OF 9/11 INCLUDING A
REPORT FROM THE DRUG
ENFORCEMENT ADMINISTRATION, SHOWING
THAT MORE THAN 100 ISRAELI
COVERT OPERATIVES WERE
FUNCTIONING INSIDE THE
UNITED STATES JUST BEFORE AND DURING
THE ATTACKS. SOME OF THESE
OPERATIVES WERE PLACED IN
EXTREMELY CLOSE PROXIMITY TO
FOUR OF THE 9/11 HIJACKERS IN
SOUTH FLORIDA AND SAN DIEGO.
ISRAELI COMPANIES SUCH AS
AMDOCS, COMVERSE AND ODIGO
HAD DIRECT CONNECTIONS TO THE
EVENTS OF 9/11. A “FORMER”
ISRAELI ANTI-TERROR OPERATIVE WAS
ON BOARD AMERICAN FLIGHT 11.
34
TO SAY THAT ISRAEL PLAYED A
CRIMINAL ROLE IN THE ATTACKS IS NOT
THE SAME THING AS SAYING
THAT ISRAEL PERPETRATED THE
ATTACKS. A KEY QUESTION
ASKED BY ANY HOMICIDE INVESTIGATOR
IS CUI BONO? WHO BENEFITS.
AND ON THIS ACCOUNT WE CAN FIND
ONLY THREE COUNTRIES, THE
US, BRITAIN AND ISRAEL THAT HAVE
NEVER WAVERED IN THEIR
SUPPORT OF EVERYTHING THAT HAS
HAPPENED SINCE 9/11.
TONIGHT, EVEN AS I SPEAK, AN
ISRAELI SPY SCANDAL IS SPREADING
THROUGH THE HIGHEST LEVELS
OF THE PENTAGON AND REVELATIONS
FROM BREAKING NEWS STORIES
STRONGLY SUGGEST THAT THE
INFORMATION BEING PROVIDED
TO THE ISRAELI GOVERNMENT
CARRIED WITH IT THE SANCTION
OF SOME OF THE SAME PEOPLE I
HAVE CHARGED IN “CROSSING
THE RUBICON” WITH PERPETRATING THE
ATTACKS OF SEPTEMBER 11TH.
TONIGHT I PREDICT THAT THE CURRENT
SCANDAL WILL OVERLAP AND
CONNECT WITH THE RECENT ARREST BY
SOUTH AFRICAN AUTHORITIES OF
SIR MARK THATCHER, SON OF
FORMER BRITISH PRIME
MINISTER MARGARET THATCHER, FOR HIS
ROLE IN SPONSORING AN
ABORTED COUP IN THE WEST AFRICAN
NATION OF EQUATORIAL GUINEA.
THE MOTIVE: BRITISH COMMERCIAL
ACQUISITION OF OIL RIGHTS IN
A REGION THAT – AS I HAVE BEEN
WRITING FOR TWO YEARS NOW –
IS DESTINED TO BECOME THE NEXT
REGIONAL ZONE OF
CONFRONTATION.
WEST AFRICAN NATIONS FROM
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA, TO NIGERIA, TO
SIERRA LEONE, TO SAO TOME
AND PRINCIPE, TO CHAD, TO CAMEROON
TO ANGOLA ARE ALL FEVERISH
OIL-RUSH BOOM TOWNS WHERE
NATIONS, MONEY, MILITARY
MIGHT, COVERT OPERATIONS AND
INTRIGUE ARE CONVERGING WITH
LIGHTNING SPEED TO CONTROL OIL
RESERVES. ALTHOUGH MUCH
SMALLER THAN THE RESERVES OF THE
MIDDLE EAST, THESE AFRICAN
RESERVES ARE CRITICAL SWING AND
35
LESSER SUPPLIERS OF OIL IN A
WORLD WHERE – AS WE TOO WELL
KNOW – THE REMOVAL OF JUST A
MILLION BARRELS A DAY FROM
GLOBAL SUPPLY CAN WREAK
ECONOMIC HAVOC. AFRICA’S PRICELESS
ENERGY TAKES ONLY ABOUT TWO
WEEKS TO REACH AN AMERICAN
GAS TANK AS OPPOSED TO THE
SIX WEEK JOURNEY REQUIRED FOR OIL
FROM THE MIDDLE EAST.
LAST SPRING, JUST AFTER THE
US OCCUPATION OF IRAQ, IT WAS
DISCLOSED THAT THE ISRAELI
GOVERNMENT HAD ENTERED
NEGOTIATIONS WITH US
REPRESENTATIVES TO EXPLORE THE
POSSIBILITY OF REBUILDING A
DEMOLISHED PIPELINE FROM NORTHERN
IRAQ TO THE ISRAELI PORT OF
HAIFA.
TO LEVEL A CHARGE OF
ANTI-SEMITISM AT ME OR ANYONE ELSE WHO
DARES TO CRITICIZE ISRAELI
GOVERNMENT ACTIONS IS TO ARGUE
THAT ISRAEL AND ALL OF
JUDAISM IS A MONOLITHIC STRUCTURE,
SHARING ONLY ONE VIEWPOINT.
IT IS TO SAY THAT BEING A JEW
MEANS BEING A LIKUDNIK. IT
IS TO OVERLOOK THE ENORMOUS
DISSENT WITHIN ISRAEL OF
GROUPS LIKE WOMEN IN BLACK, NOT IN
OUR NAMES, AND THE ALMOST
700 COMMISSIONED AND NONCOMMISSIONED
OFFICERS FROM THE ISRAELI DEFENSE
FORCES WHO
HAVE REFUSED TO SERVE IN THE
OCCUPIED TERRITORIES. IT IS TO
IGNORE THE FACT THAT THE
NEPHEW OF BENJAMIN NETANYAHU HAS
REFUSED COMPULSORY MILITARY
SERVICE AND RISKS JAIL FOR THAT
DECISION.
I LOOK IN THE BACK OF THE
ROOM AND I SEE MY DEAR FRIEND, AGENT
AND PUBLICIST KEN LEVINE.
LAST SPRING I WAS PRIVILEGED TO
PARTICIPATE IN A SEDER AT
THE HOME OF HIS INCREDIBLE 92 YEAROLD
MOTHER.
36
I STOP AND GIVE THANKS FOR
JAMEY HECHT, PH.D., A POET, ENGLISH
LITERATURE PROFESSOR, GREAT FRIEND
AND AMERICAN JEW WHO
EDITED “CROSSING THE
RUBICON.”
IN THE SAME BREATH I ALSO
THINK OF AND THANK MY DEAR FRIEND
DR. FAIZ KHAN, A MUSLIM IMAM
AND EMERGENCY ROOM PHYSICIAN
WHO LEFT HIS POST AT JEWISH
HOSPITAL IN BROOKLYN AND RUSHED
TO THE WORLD TRADE CENTER TO
RENDER AID ON SEPTEMBER 11TH.
HE WAS ONE OF THE FIRST
DOCTORS ON THE SCENE AND HE WAS ONE
OF THE LAST TO LEAVE.
THERE IS NO ROOM FOR
STEREOTYPICAL THINKING IN A TIME OF
CRISIS. AS FAIZ KHAN SAID TO
ME ONCE, A PARADIGM IS WHAT YOU
THINK ABOUT SOMETHING BEFORE
YOU THINK ABOUT IT. IT IS THESE
TRAPS WHICH WE MUST ALL
AVOID.
I WILL SAY ONE MORE THING
BEFORE LEAVING THE SUBJECT OF 9/11
TONIGHT. I LIKE MANY
AMERICANS AND MANY PEOPLE AROUND THE
WORLD HAVE SERIOUS LINGERING
QUESTIONS ABOUT THE COLLAPSE
OF THE TWIN TOWERS, WHAT IT
WAS THAT ACTUALLY STRUCK THE
PENTAGON AND WHAT – IN THE
NAME OF GOD – IT WAS THAT CAUSED
THE COLLAPSE OF WTC 7, A
BUILDING THAT HAD NOT EVEN BEEN
STRUCK DURING THE ATTACKS.
UNFORTUNATELY, THE PHYSICAL
EVIDENCE WAS QUICKLY DESTROYED
AND SCIENTIFIC ANALYSIS IS
NOT AVAILABLE TO US TO ANSWER THESE
IMPORTANT QUESTIONS. IN
ORDER TO MAKE THE STRONGEST LEGAL
CASE POSSIBLE I HAVE AVOIDED
DISCUSSIONS OF PHYSICAL EVIDENCE
– OPEN TO ACRIMONIOUS DEBATE
AND SCIENTIFIC CHALLENGE – AND
CHOSEN TO DO WHAT ANY GOOD
POLICE OFFICER MUST DO; KEEP MY
EYE ON THE SUSPECTS. IT DOES
NOT TAKE A SCIENTIST TO PROVE
37
THAT GEORGE BUSH, DICK
CHENEY, DONALD RUMSFELD, CONDI RICE,
GENERAL RALPH EBERHART,
GENERAL RICHARD MYERS, FBI DIRECTOR
ROBERT MUELLER, JOHN
ASHCROFT AND GEORGE TENET LIED TO THE
AMERICAN PEOPLE.
THERE IS A RECORD THAT
PROVES THIS AND THAT IS THE RECORD I
WILL PRESENT TO YOU IN
“CROSSING THE RUBICON.”
BUT ON THE SUBJECT OF WTC 7
I WILL, IN MY BOOK, EXPLAIN WHY THAT
PARTICULAR BUILDING HAD TO
BE DESTROYED. AND ALTHOUGH I
CANNOT PROVE TO YOU HOW THE
TWIN TOWERS WERE COLLAPSED, I
WILL SHOW YOU WHO PERFORMED
THE REQUISITE STUDIES THAT
WOULD HAVE BEEN ESSENTIAL TO
PULL OFF THAT FEAT.
PEAK OIL
I TURN NOW TO THE MOTIVE FOR
THE MURDERS. PEAK OIL IS NO
SECRET. ITS CHIEF OPPONENT
IS SOMETHING CALLED DENIAL – WHICH
IS NOT A RIVER IN EGYPT.
DICK CHENEY KNEW ABOUT IT. I
WILL SHOW YOU THAT IN MY BOOK.
HIS NATIONAL ENERGY POLICY
DEVELOPMENT GROUP – YOU KNOW,
THE ONE THAT REFUSED TO
RELEASE ITS RECORDS SPARKING A
CONSTITUTIONAL CRISIS AND A
SUPREME COURT RULING, KNEW
ABOUT IT. I WILL SHOW YOU
THAT IN MY BOOK TOO.
OIL AND NATURAL GAS ARE
INDISPENSABLE TO OUR WAY OF LIFE. THE
WORLD CONSUMES TEN CALORIES
OF HYDROCARBON ENERGY FOR
EVERY CALORIE OF FOOD THAT
IS EATEN. ALL COMMERCIAL
FERTILIZERS ARE MADE FROM
NATURAL GAS. ALL PESTICIDES ARE
MADE FROM PETROLEUM. ALL
IRRIGATION, PLOWING, HARVESTING
38 AND TRANSPORT IS
ACCOMPLISHED BY EITHER OIL POWERED
MACHINERY OR OIL OR NATURAL
GAS GENERATED ELECTRICITY.
THERE ARE BETWEEN 600 AND
700 MILLION INTERNAL COMBUSTION
POWERED VEHICLES ON THE
PLANET AND THE DEMAND FOR THEM IS
EXPLODING EXPONENTIALLY,
ESPECIALLY IN CHINA WHERE GM’S SALES
ROSE 300% IN ONE YEAR ALONE.
ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL
GEOGRAPHIC THIS LAST JUNE
THERE ARE SEVEN GALLONS OF OIL IN
EVERY TIRE. WANT TO SUDDENLY
BUILD 600 MILLION NEW VEHICLES
THAT RUN ON SOMETHING ELSE,
HYDROGEN PERHAPS? HOW MUCH OIL
WILL BE REQUIRED TO DO THAT?
TO MINE AND MELT THE ORE? TO
TRANSPORT IT TO FACTORIES
THAT DON’T EXIST, USING ELECTRICITY
THAT ISN’T THERE? TO MAKE
THE PAINTS, SOLVENTS AND ALL OF THE
PLASTIC NEEDED? ALL PLASTIC
IS MADE FROM OIL.
HYDROGEN IS A CRUEL JOKE
THAT CREATES FALSE HOPE. A RECENT
STUDY FROM EV MAGAZINE REPORTED
THAT THE AVERAGE LIFE
EXPECTANCY OF A VERY
EXPENSIVE FUEL CELL ENGINE WAS JUST 200
HOURS. COMMERCIAL HYDROGEN
IS NOW MADE FROM NATURAL GAS.
WE’RE NEARLY OUT OF THAT
TOO.
CHINA’S ECONOMIC GROWTH HAS
SEEN IT REPLACE JAPAN AS THE
WORLD’S SECOND LARGEST
IMPORTER OF OIL AND CHINA IS NOW
COMING INTO DIRECT ECONOMIC
AND POLITICAL COMPETITION WITH
THE US FOR WHAT OIL REMAINS.
I HAVE ATTENDED TWO
INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCES ON THE
SUBJECT OF PEAK OIL AND ITS
IMPLICATIONS FOR CIVILIZATION; ONE IN
PARIS IN 2003 AND ONE IN
BERLIN THIS YEAR. FOR ALMOST THE ENTIRE
YEAR BETWEEN THE PARIS AND
BERLIN CONFERENCES THE ICONS OF
THE MAINSTREAM PRESS – THE
ONES KNOWN AND EMPLOYED TO
39
MOLD PUBLIC AND BUSINESS
PERCEPTION – HAVE BEEN
ACKNOWLEDGING PEAK OIL’S REALITY,
SOMETIMES RELUCTANTLY,
SOMETIMES LESS THAN
DIRECTLY, BUT ALSO SOMETIMES VERY
BOLDLY. CNN, THE BBC, THE
NEW YORK TIMES, THE ECONOMIST;
DOZENS OF MEDIA GIANTS HAD
BEGUN TO RESPOND, LIKE A GIANT
SHIP TURNING SLOWLY IN THE
WATER. THE SHIP HAS CLEARLY
CHANGED COURSE, BUT WAS IT
ENOUGH? WAS IT IN TIME? I HAVE
SAVED CLOSE TO 200 OF THESE
STORIES.
LOOKING AT JUST A FEW OF
THEM MAKES THE POINT WELL ENOUGH.
• “THE END OF CHEAP OIL” –
NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC (COVER
STORY) – JUNE 2004.
• “WHAT TO USE WHEN THE OIL
RUNS OUT” – BBC – APRIL 22, 2004
• “ADIOS CHEAP OIL” –
INTERPRESS NEWS AGENCY – APRIL 27, 2004
• “G7: OIL PRICE THREATENS
WORLD ECONOMY” – MOSCOW TIMES
– 4/26/04
• “WORLD OIL CRISIS LOOMS” –
JANE’S -- 4/21/04
• “US PROCURING THE WORLD’S
OIL” – FOREIGN POLICY IN FOCUS
– JANUARY 2004
• “ARE WE RUNNING OUT OF
OIL? SCIENTIST WARNS OF LOOMING
CRISIS” – ABC NEWS.COM –
2/11/04
• “BLOOD, MONEY, AND OIL” –
US NEWS – 8/18/03
• “SOARING GLOBAL DEMAND FOR
OIL STRAINS PRODUCTION
CAPACITY” – WALL STREET
JOURNAL – 3/22/04
• “CHECK THAT OIL” –
WASHINGTON POST – 11/14/03
• “CHINA’S DEMAND FOR
FOREIGN OIL RISES AT BREAKNECK PACE”
– KNIGHT RIDDER –1/26/04
• ’WORLD OIL AND GAS RUNNING
OUT’ – CNN – 10/02/03
• “DEBATE RAGES ON OIL OUTPUT
BY SAUDIS IN FUTURE” – THE
NEW YORK TIMES – 2/25/04
• “FOSSIL-FUEL DEPENDENCY:
DO OIL RESERVES FORETELL BLEAK
FUTURE?” – SAN FRANCISCO
CHRONICLE – 4/02/04
• “THE END OF THE OIL AGE:
WAYS TO BREAK THE TYRANNY OF OIL
ARE COMING INTO VIEW.
GOVERNMENTS NEED TO PROMOTE
THEM” – THE ECONOMIST –
10/23/03
THE SUBJECT OF PEAK OIL IS
ONE WHICH REQUIRES A LITTLE STUDY
TO GET YOUR BRAIN AROUND. IT
DOES NOT, HOWEVER, REQUIRE
MUCH SCIENCE EXCEPT FOR
BASIC ARITHMETIC.
40
DISCOVERIES OF LARGE OIL DEPOSITS
HAVE BEEN IN STEEP DECLINE
SINCE 1962. DEMAND, ON THE
OTHER HAND, HAS BEEN SOARING.
TO QUOTE MY ENERGY EDITOR
DALE ALLEN PFEIFFER, A GEOLOGIST:
IT APPEARS THAT THE YEAR
2007 WILL BE IMPORTANT. A NEW STUDY
PUBLISHED IN PETROLEUM
REVIEW SUGGESTS THAT PRODUCTION
MIGHT NOT BE ABLE TO KEEP UP
WITH DEMAND BY 2007. THE STUDY IS
A SURVEY OF MEGA PROJECTS
(THOSE WITH RESERVES OF OVER 500
MILLION BARRELS) AND THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE OVER 100,000
BARRELS PER DAY OF OIL).
MEGA PROJECTS ARE IMPORTANT NOT
ONLY BECAUSE THEY PROVIDE
THE BULK OF WORLD OIL PRODUCTION,
BUT ALSO BECAUSE THEY HAVE A
BETTER NET ENERGY PROFILE THAN
SMALLER PROJECTS, AND THEY
PROVIDE A MORE SUBSTANTIAL PROFIT
THAN SMALLER PROJECTS.
BEAR IN MIND THAT THE PLANET
CONSUMES A BILLION BARRELS OF OIL
(OR TWO MEGA FIELDS) EVERY
ELEVEN AND ONE HALF DAYS.
THE DISCOVERY RATE FOR MEGA
PROJECTS HAS DWINDLED TO
ALMOST NOTHING. THIS CAN BE
SEEN IN THE DATA FOR THE LAST FEW
YEARS. IN 2000, THERE WERE
16 DISCOVERIES OF OVER 500 MB; IN
2001 THERE WERE ONLY 8 NEW
DISCOVERIES, AND IN 2002 THERE
WERE ONLY 3 SUCH
DISCOVERIES. FROM FIRST DISCOVERY TO FIRST
PRODUCTION GENERALLY TAKES
ABOUT 6 YEARS. IF THE NEW
PROJECT CAN MAKE USE OF
EXISTING INFRASTRUCTURE, THEN THE
START UP TIME MIGHT BE CUT
TO 4 YEARS.
IN 2003 SEVEN NEW MEGA
PROJECTS WERE BROUGHT ON STREAM.
2004 EXPECTS TO SEE ANOTHER
11 PROJECTS START PRODUCING.
2005 WILL BE THE PEAK YEAR
FOR BRINGING NEW PROJECTS ON
41
STREAM, WITH 18 NEW PROJECTS
EXPECTED TO BE BROUGHT ON
STREAM IN THAT YEAR. IN
2006, THE PACE DROPS BACK TO 11 NEW
PROJECTS. BUT IN 2007 THERE
ARE ONLY 3 NEW PROJECTS
SCHEDULED TO BEGIN
PRODUCTION, FOLLOWED BY 3 MORE IN 2008.
THERE ARE NO NEW PROJECTS ON
TRACK FOR 2009 OR 2010. AND ANY
NEW MEGA PROJECT SANCTIONED
NOW COULD NOT POSSIBLY COME
ON STREAM ANY SOONER THAN
2008.
THE STUDY POINTS OUT THAT
CURRENTLY ABOUT A THIRD OF THE
WORLD'S OIL PRODUCTION COMES
FROM DECLINING FIELDS, WITH A
LIKELY OVERALL DECLINE RATE
OF ABOUT 4%. AS A RESULT, GLOBAL
PRODUCTION CAPACITY IS
CONTRACTING BY OVER 1 MILLION BARRELS
PER DAY EVERY YEAR. NEW
PRODUCTION IS THE ONLY THING
OFFSETTING THIS DECLINE.
OF COURSE RECENT EVENTS HAVE
CLEARLY DEMONSTRATED THE
FRAGILITY OF A GLOBAL
PRODUCTION SYSTEM THAT IS OPERATING AT
FULL TILT. SABOTAGE AN IRAQI
PIPELINE ONE DAY THE PRICE GOES
UP. ANNOUNCE THAT VLADIMIR
PUTIN IS EASING UP ON RUSSIAN OIL
GIANT YUKOS AND THE PRICE
DROPS. ANNOUNCE THAT PUTIN IS
MOVING TO SELL OF ITS ASSETS
AND CONFISCATE ITS CASH, THE
PRICE SOARS. WORRY THAT HUGO
CHAVEZ OF VENEZUELA MIGHT BE
OUSTED IN A VIOLENT COUP AND
THE PRICE JUMPS. WATCH CHAVEZ –
WHO IS DESPISED BY THE BUSH
ADMINISTRATION – WIN HIS SEVENTH
ELECTION IN AS MANY YEARS
AND THE PRICE DROPS.
BY THE WAY, THAT IS SEVEN
MORE ELECTIONS THAN GEORGE BUSH
HAS WON.
IN SPITE OF REPEATED
ASSURANCES FROM THE SAUDI GOVERNMENT
THAT THEY CAN AND ARE
INCREASING PRODUCTION THE EVIDENCE IS
GROWING THAT THEY CANNOT.
FTW WAS THE FIRST TO REPORT, A
42
YEAR BEFORE THE NEW YORK TIMES
DID, THAT SAUDI ARABIA MAY
HAVE ACTUALLY PEAKED. NEW
STUDIES ARE REPORTING THAT SAUDI
WELLS IN THE MOTHER OF ALL
OIL FIELDS GHAWAR ARE SHOWING 55%
WATER CUT. THAT MEANS THAT
55% OF WHAT IS PUMPED OUT EVERY
DAY IS THE SAME SEAWATER
THAT WAS PUMPED IN TO PUSH THE OIL
UP. EXPERIENCE HAS SHOWN
THAT WHEN THE WATER CUT GETS TO
BETWEEN 70 AND 80% THE FIELD
COLLAPSES.
THE RUSH TO PRODUCE MORE OIL
IS HASTENING THE DESTRUCTION
OF FIELDS THAT COULD LAST
LONGER OTHERWISE.
EVENTS THEN SEEM TO CONFIRM
THESE WORRIES ABOUT SAUDI
ARABIA. SAUDI REASSURANCES
ARE NOW BEING CHUCKLED AT BY
MAJOR FINANCIAL
COMMENTATORS, AND SAUDI PLEDGES TO INCREASE
PRODUCTION ARE HAVING LESS
AND LESS EFFECT ON THE MARKETS.
GHAWAR, THE SUPER GIANT OF
ALL FIELDS WAS DISCOVERED MORE
THAN 60 YEARS AGO. IT HAD
ESTIMATED RESERVES OF ALMOST 100
BILLION BARRELS OF OIL.
PROFESSOR MICHAEL KLARE HAS TOLD US
THAT, IN ORDER TO KEEP PACE
WITH ACCELERATING OIL DEMAND, THE
WORLD WILL HAVE TO DISCOVER
THREE NEW GHAWARS IN THE NEXT
10 TO 15 YEARS JUST TO MEET
DEMAND. THERE WAS ONLY ONE
GHAWAR. THERE HASN’T BEEN
ANOTHER ONE SINCE.
SO WHEN WE LOOK AT THE
PALTRY AND RAPIDLY DIMINISHING RATE OF
DISCOVERY FOR THE SO-CALLED
MEGA FIELDS, THE PROSPECTS
BECOME JUST A BIT MORE
CHILLING. IN THE YEAR 2003, FOR THE FIRST
TIME SINCE THE 1920s
ACCORDING TO A LEADING PETROLEUM
CONSULTING FIRM, NOT A
SINGLE SO-CALLED MEGA FIELD – 500
MILLION BARRELS OR MORE –
WAS DISCOVERED.
BY 2007, PRODUCTION CAPACITY
WILL HAVE DECLINED BY 3-4MN B/D.
YET THIS DECLINE WILL BE
OFFSET BY 8MN B/D OF NEW CAPACITY
43
DRAWN FROM THE MANY NEW
PROJECTS EXPECTED TO COME ON
STREAM OVER THE NEXT FEW
YEARS. THIS LEAVES A SURPLUS OF 4MN
B/D IN SPARE CAPACITY. YET
GLOBAL DEMAND IS GROWING BY OVER 1
MBPD EACH YEAR. SO 3 YEARS OF
DEMAND GROWTH WILL REDUCE
OUR SPARE CAPACITY TO 1MN
B/D BY THE START OF 2007. AS VERY
LITTLE NEW CAPACITY IS SET
TO COME ON STREAM IN 2007, THAT
REMAINING 1 MBPD SPARE
CAPACITY WILL LIKELY DISAPPEAR BEFORE
2008.
IN THE SHORT TERM OIL PRICES
ARE GOVERNED BY MARKET FORCES
RATHER THAN GEOLOGY WHICH
WILL TELL US, AS OPPOSED TO
INVESTMENT AND ECONOMICS,
HOW MUCH OIL WE CAN ULTIMATELY
EXTRACT. THE IRONY IS THAT
WHEN THREE NEW MEGA FIELDS COME
ONLINE ALL AT ONCE THE
PRICES MAY ACTUALLY DROP. THAT WILL
NOT CHANGE THE OUTCOME.
SPECULATION AT PRESENT IS NOT A BIG
A FACTOR AS IT COULD BE. I
WHOLEHEARTEDLY AGREE WITH
INVESTMENT BANKER MATTHEW
SIMMONS THAT A MARGIN
REQUIREMENT OF 50% SHOULD BE
PLACED ON ALL OIL FUTURES
TRADING WORLDWIDE.
THE UPSHOT OF ALL THIS IS
THAT THE OIL SUPPLY APPEARS
SUSTAINABLE, BARRING MAJOR
WARS OR DESTRUCTION ON
INFRASTRUCTURE UNTIL 2007.
WITH SO MUCH NEW PRODUCTION
COMING ON STREAM, THERE MAY
EVEN BE PERIODS OF PRICE
WEAKNESS. HOWEVER, IT IS
LIKELY THAT WE WILL BEGIN SUFFERING
OIL SHORTAGES AFTER 2007,
ESPECIALLY IF ANYTHING HAPPENS TO
DISRUPT A PORTION OF THE
PRODUCTION. IF NEW PROJECTS ARE NOT
FOUND, AND ONLINE BY 2008,
THEN BY THE END OF THAT YEAR WE ARE
CERTAIN TO SEE SEVERE
SHORTAGES WITHOUT ANY CAUSE OTHER
THAN RISING DEMAND.
44
BUT THERE IS ANOTHER FACTOR
TO THIS OIL CALCULUS. SO MANY
COMPLAINTS ARE BEING VOICED
THAT A MAJOR PART OF THE
PROBLEM WITH CURRENT OIL
PRICES HAS TO DO WITH A LACK OF
REFINERIES. PEOPLE POINT OUT
THAT THERE ARE 18 DIFFERENT
GRADES OF GASOLINE IN THIS
COUNTRY MATCHING VARIOUS STATE
LAWS. WHY, THEY DEMAND, ARE
NO MORE REFINERIES BEING BUILT.
THE ANSWER IS SIMPLE AND IT
IS A DIRECT AND IRREFUTABLE
CONFIRMATION OF PEAK OIL.
THE RETURN ON INVESTMENT – AS
MATTHEW SIMMONS SAYS – IS
UNCERTAIN. ACCORDING TO SIMMONS
IT TAKES 5-7 YEARS AND ABOUT
$150 MILLION TO BRING A COMPLEX
REFINERY ONLINE. THE COST OF
THE REFINERY IS PAID FOR BY THE
SALE OF THE OIL.
THE REFINERIES ARE NOT BEING
BUILT AND MASSIVE EXPENSIVE
EXPLORATION PROJECTS ARE NOT
BEING UNDERTAKEN BECAUSE THE
OIL COMPANIES UNDERSTAND
THAT THERE IS VERY LITTLE OIL LEFT TO
FIND.
FINDING 10 NEW NORTH SEA
FIELDS… SOMEWHERE
BY 2015, GLOBAL OIL DEMAND
IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY OVER
TWO-THIRDS, THAT IS 60 MBPD
BEYOND CURRENT GLOBAL
CONSUMPTION OF BETWEEN 75
AND 80 MBPD. TO MEET THAT DEMAND
WE WILL HAVE TO FIND THE
EQUIVALENT OF 10 NEW NORTH SEA OIL
FIELDS WITHIN A DECADE. IN
THE MEANTIME BRITAIN’S NORTH SEA,
JUST LIKE ALASKA’S NORTH
SLOPE DID A DECADE AGO, IS RUNNING
DRY. RIGS ARE SHUTTING DOWN
AND EMPLOYEES ARE BEING LAID
OFF. YET WE ARE HARD PRESSED
NOW TO DISCOVER EVEN ANOTHER
MEGA-SIZED FIELD.
45
TO QUOTE FORMER BRITISH
ENVIRONMENTAL MINISTER MICHAEL
MEACHER, WE ARE FACING,
"THE SHARPEST AND PERHAPS THE MOST
VIOLENT DISLOCATION (OF
SOCIETY) IN RECENT HISTORY."
I SHOULD ADD THE MEACHER,
ALONG WITH FORMER GERMAN CABINET
MINISTER AND FORMER
PARLIAMENTARY SECRETARY ANDREAS VON
BUELOW HAS STATED PUBLICLY
AND IN WRITING THAT THE ATTACKS
OF SEPTEMBER 11TH WERE PERPETRATED
BY THE US GOVERNMENT.
THERE ARE MANY OUT THERE WHO
JUST REFUSE TO BELIEVE THAT OIL
AND NATURAL GAS ARE RUNNING
OUT. SOME INSIST THAT OIL IS
CREATED AUTOMATICALLY AND
INFINITELY BY THE EARTH’S CORE,
DISPUTING ALL KNOWN SCIENCE
SHOWING OTHERWISE. THERE ARE
THOSE WHO INSIST THAT
ALTERNATIVE ENERGIES CAN BE SNAPPED
INTO PLACE IMMEDIATELY TO
ALLOW FOR INFINITE ECONOMIC AND
POPULATION GROWTH.
ASIDE FROM LOOKING AT THE
EVENTS SINCE 9/11 AND SEEING THAT
THEY MATCH A WORLD OF
DIMINISHING ENERGY LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT
SOME RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
AROUND THE WORLD AND SEE WHAT
THEY TELL US.
BRITAIN’S LARGEST
ELECTRICITY PROVIDER HAS ANNOUNCED THAT
PRICES WILL SOAR AS MUCH AS
40% NEXT YEAR. WHOLESALE ENERGY
PRICES HAVE DOUBLED IN THE
LAST YEAR AS BLOOMBERG HAS
ANNOUNCED THAT THE DECLINE
IN NORTH SEA PRODUCTION IS
CREATING A TRADE GAP WHICH
IS NOW THREATENING TO CAUSE
WIDESPREAD UNEMPLOYMENT.
IN MARCH REUTERS REPORTED
THAT ARGENTINA, FACING ITS WORST
ENERGY CRISIS IN15 YEARS, IS
BECOMING UNSTABLE TO THE POINT OF
THREATENING THE SECURITY OF
THE ENTIRE REGION. IT HAS CUT ITS
46
NATURAL GAS EXPORTS TO CHILE
BY 15%, WHICH IS THREATENING
CHILEAN POWER GENERATION.
ARGENTINA IS NOW MOVING INTO THE
WORLD OIL MARKET IN SEARCH
OF OIL FOR POWER GENERATION AND
TRANSPORTATION AS ITS OWN
DOMESTIC SUPPLIES HAVE DWINDLED.
THE BBC REPORTED RECENTLY
THAT HIGH OIL PRICES ARE
THREATENING MANY ASIAN
ECONOMIES.
JUST TWO WEEKS AGO THE
AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT ORDERED AN
EMERGENCY FUEL REVIEW IN ANTICIPATION
OF FUTURE CRISES. IN
JUNE IT CONDUCTED A TEST TO
SEE HOW THE GOVERNMENT AND
COUNTRY WOULD RESPOND TO A
“DISRUPTION” IN OIL SUPPLIES.
ON AUGUST 25TH IT WAS
REPORTED THE BRAZIL WAS OPENING
NEGOTIATIONS WITH ECUADOR TO
REPLACE DIMINISHING OIL
SUPPLIES.
CHINA, IN THE MIDST OF
RAPIDLY DIMINISHING HARVESTS, A GROWING
ECONOMY AND EXPANDING
POPULATION IS FEARING A MAJOR FOOD
CRISIS. THIS, EVEN AS HONG
KONG, HANGZHOU, AND SHANGHAI ARE
FACING MANDATORY BLACKOUTS
WHICH ARE DISRUPTING
MANUFACTURING, TRADE AND
RETAIL ACTIVITY. CHINESE OIL IMPORTS
HAVE INCREASED BY 15% IN
JUST THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2004 ALONE.
GERMANY HAS MOVED TO
INSTITUTE HOME ENERGY PASSPORTS, AND
UNDERTAKEN SERIOUS AND WELL
PLANNED EFFORTS TO REDUCE
ENERGY CONSUMPTION. CHANCELLOR
SCHROEDER, IN THE WAKE OF
RECENT REVELATIONS THAT
SHELL – WHICH DOWNWARDLY REVISED
ITS RESERVE ESTIMATES FOUR
TIMES IN ONE YEAR – CALLED UPON
THE G8 NATIONS TO MOVE TO
MANDATE TOTAL AND VERIFIABLE
TRANSPARENCY IN ALL OIL
RESERVE FIGURES.
47
INDIA, WHOSE OIL IMPORTS
JUMPED 23% IN ONE MONTH, HAS MOVED
TO CREATE A STRATEGIC
PETROLEUM RESERVE.
INDONESIA, A MEMBER OF OPEC
HAS ANNOUNCED THAT ITS OIL
PRODUCTION WILL DROP
SIGNIFICANTLY BY 2008.
JAPAN, IGNORING STIFF
OPPOSITION FROM WASHINGTON, HAS SIGNED
A MAJOR OIL CONTRACT WITH
IRAN, AT THE SAME TIME THAT IT IS
FEUDING WITH CHINA, VIETNAM
AND THE PHILIPPINES OVER
RELATIVELY SMALL OIL AND GAS
DEPOSITS IN THE SPRATLY ISLANDS
OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. IN
ANTICIPATION OF PENDING MILITARY
CONFLICT IN THE REGION CHINA
HAS DECIDED TO BUILD A PIPELINE
THROUGH BURMA TO THE INDIAN
OCEAN SO THAT TANKERS
SUPPLYING CHINA’S GROWING
THIRST WILL NOT HAVE TO TRAVEL
THROUGH A REGION THAT IS
BECOMING INCREASINGLY DANGEROUS.
THREE BILLS HAVE BEEN INTRODUCED
IN THE JAPANESE PARLIAMENT
THAT WOULD SUSPEND ITS
NON-VIOLENT CONSTITUTION AND PERMIT A
FULL SCALE REARMAMENT.
RUSSIA, HAVING RECENTLY
ADMITTED THAT ITS OIL RESERVES WERE
FINITE AND THAT PRODUCTION
MIGHT START TO DECLINE SHARPLY
WITHIN THE NEXT FIVE YEARS
HAS ANNOUNCED THAT IT WILL BUILD A
PIPELINE FROM ITS SIBERIAN
FIELDS TO THE PACIFIC PORTS OF
VLADIVOSTOK AND SAKHALIN
THUS AGREEING TO SELL ITS OIL TO
JAPAN, KOREA AND THE
PHILIPPINES. RUSSIA’S OTHER CHOICE WAS
TO HAVE THE PIPELINE
TERMINATE IN CENTRAL CHINA.
THIS WEEK IN PETROLEUM, AN
INDUSTRY JOURNAL HAS REPORTED
THAT NON OECD COUNTRIES HAVE
BEGUN TO HOARD PETROLEUM AND
48
ARE BUYING ALL THEY CAN EVEN
AT WHAT SOME ANALYSTS CALL
“INFLATED” PRICES.
IN THAILAND, MANDATORY
EVENING CURFEWS HAVE BEEN IMPOSED
TWO NIGHTS A WEEK REQUIRING
ALL BUSINESSES TO SHUT DOWN IN
ORDER TO CONSERVE ENERGY.
ON AUGUST 24TH BRITAIN’S OIL
DEPLETION ANALYSIS CENTER
CONFIRMED, CITING DATA FROM
PETROLEUM REVIEW THAT DAILY OIL
DEPLETION IS NOW EXCEEDING
ONE MILLION BARRELS PER DAY. IN
OTHER WORDS, EVERY DAY, THE
WORLD IS PRODUCING 1.14 MILLION
BARRELS PER DAY LESS THAN IT
DID THE DAY BEFORE. BY ANALYZING
DATA FROM THE 18 LARGEST OIL
PRODUCING NATIONS PETROLEUM
REVIEW CALCULATED THAT PRODUCTION
FROM THESE COUNTRIES
PEAKED IN 1997 AT 24.7
MILLION BARRELS PER DAY AND THAT BY 2003
IT HAD FALLEN TO 22.1
MILLION BARRELS PER DAY.
ON AUGUST 21 THE HOUSTON
CHRONICLE POSED A GREAT QUESTION.
IF OIL PRICES ARE SOARING
AND THERE’S INSATIABLE DEMAND, WHY
ISN’T THERE A BOOM IN HIRING
AND CORPORATE EXPANSION? THE
CHRONICLE, PAYING DUE HEED
TO THE FINANCIAL MARKETS, OFFERED
THE DUBIOUS EXPLANATION THAT
THE OIL COMPANIES JUST DIDN’T
WANT TO OVERDO THINGS AND
LOOK GREEDY. IN FACT, ALL OVER THE
WORLD OIL COMPANIES ARE
DOWNSIZING, SELLING OFF ASSETS,
LAYING OFF EMPLOYEES AND
MERGING. JUST LAST WEEK IT WAS
ANNOUNCED THAT FRENCH GIANT
TOTAL WAS CONSIDERING A TENDER
OFFER TO PURCHASE ROYAL
DUTCH SHELL.
AND HERE IN THE UNITED
STATES, RISING OIL PRICES HAVE FORCED
MAJOR AIRLINES LIKE UNITED
TO CONSIDER RAIDING CORPORATE
49
PENSION FUNDS IN ORDER TO
OFFSET RISING OIL COSTS AS AN
ALTERNATIVE TO BANKRUPTCY.
IN THE MEANTIME, IN THE WEST
AFRICAN COUNTRY OF LIBERIA, THERE
ARE REPORTS OF 10 YEAR-OLD
MERCENARIES BEING RECRUITED TO
FIGHT IN GUERILLA CONFLICTS
IN NEIGHBORING COUNTRIES AND
THERE IS NO SHORTAGE OF
RECRUITS. I WONDER IF SENATOR CHUCK
HAGEL OF NEBRASKA WILL SEE
ANY OF THEM. HE JUST LEFT ON AN
ENERGY “SAFARI” TO SCOUT
WEST AFRICAN PROSPECTS, JUST ABOUT
A YEAR AFTER NATO ANNOUNCED
IT WAS SHIFTING ITS FOCUS TO
WEST AFRICA AND THE US
DELIVERED SIX OBSOLETE WARSHIPS TO
THE NIGERIAN NAVY.
THIS, LADIES AND GENTLEMEN,
IS JUST THE BEGINNING. AND NEITHER
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE HAS EVEN
REMOTELY ADDRESSED THE
REAL ISSUES OR DARED TO TELL
THE AMERICAN PEOPLE THE WORST.
THE ONE OVERRIDING CONCERN I
HAVE SEEN EXPRESSED
EVERYWHERE IS “OH, NO. WE
CAN’T DO THAT. IT WILL CRASH THE
MARKETS.”
IS THAT THE SUM TOTAL OF
HUMAN EXPRESSION AND ACHIEVEMENT?
THE MARKETS?
TO CLOSE THIS PRESENTATION
TONIGHT I WOULD LIKE TO OFFER YOU
QUOTES FROM TWO
DISTINGUISHED GENTLEMEN WHOSE NAMES
MIGHT CARRY A BIT MORE
WEIGHT IN THIS ROOM THAN MICHAEL
RUPPERT.
THE FIRST IS FROM SIR
CHARLES GALTON DARWIN WHO IN 1952, JUST
ONE YEAR AFTER I WAS BORN,
WROTE:
50
“THE FIFTH REVOLUTION WILL
COME WHEN WE HAVE SPENT
THE STORES OF COAL AND OIL
THAT HAVE BEEN
ACCUMULATING IN THE EARTH
DURING HUNDREDS OF
MILLIONS OF YEARS. . . . IT
IS TO BE HOPED THAT BEFORE
THEN OTHER SOURCES OF ENERGY
WILL HAVE BEEN
DEVELOPED . . . BUT WITHOUT
CONSIDERING THE DETAIL
[HERE] IT IS OBVIOUS THAT
THERE WILL BE A VERY GREAT
DIFFERENCE IN WAYS OF LIFE.
. . . WHETHER A CONVENIENT
SUBSTITUTE FOR THE PRESENT
FUELS IS FOUND OR NOT,
THERE CAN BE NO DOUBT THAT
THERE WILL HAVE TO BE A
GREAT CHANGE IN WAYS OF
LIFE. THIS CHANGE MAY JUSTLY
BE CALLED A REVOLUTION, BUT
IT DIFFERS FROM ALL THE
PRECEDING ONES IN THAT THERE
IS NO LIKELIHOOD OF ITS
LEADING TO INCREASES OF POPULATION,
BUT EVEN PERHAPS
TO THE REVERSE.”
I HAVE INSISTED FOR MANY
YEARS NOW THAT ANY FUNDAMENTAL
CHANGE IN THE CURRENT HUMAN
PARADIGM, A CHANGE THAT WILL
REALLY MAKE A DIFFERENCE, IS
IMPOSSIBLE UNTIL WE, COLLECTIVELY
AND AS A SPECIES, CHANGE THE
WAY MONEY WORKS.
IN “CROSSING THE RUBICON” I
WILL EXPLAIN JUST HOW AND WHY THE
WORLD’S CURRENT ECONOMIC
SYSTEM IS HASTENING AND
WORSENING A CALAMITY OF
UNIMAGINED PROPORTIONS. THIS ALL
BEGAN FOR ME SOME 27 YEARS
AGO WHEN, AS A YOUNG POLICEMAN, I
DISCOVERED THAT THE CIA WAS
DEEPLY INVOLVED IN THE DRUG
TRADE. THE PURPOSE OF THAT
INVOLVEMENT LED ME TO DISCOVER,
AND PROVE USING US SENATE
HEARING RECORDS AND DOCUMENTS
FROM THE CIA ITSELF THAT AN
ESSENTIAL INGREDIENT – PERHAPS THE
ESSENTIAL INGREDIENT – IN US
ECONOMIC SUPREMACY WAS THE
51 MAINTENANCE OF A FLOW OF
AS MUCH AS $600 BILLION A YEAR IN
DRUG PROFITS THROUGH US
FINANCIAL MARKETS AND INSTITUTIONS.
WHAT WE ARE WITNESSING NOW
IS A COLLISION: A COLLISION OF A
FINANCIAL SYSTEM RELYING ON
FRACTIONAL RESERVE BANKING,
DEBT-FINANCED GROWTH, AND A
FIAT CURRENCY SYSTEM WITH A
PLANET AND ENERGY RESOURCES
THAT ARE FINITE, LIMITED, AND
RUNNING OUT. INFINITE GROWTH
IS BATTLING WITH FINITE ENERGY.
ONE IS NOT POSSIBLE WITHOUT
THE OTHER AND I HAVE ABSOLUTELY
NO DOUBT AS TO WHICH SIDE
WILL WIN.
IN NOVEMBER 2002 JAMES
KENNETH GALBRAITH WROTE AN ARTICLE
TITLED “THE UNBEARABLE COSTS
OF EMPIRE”
NONE OF THESE PROBLEMS WILL
BE CURED SO LONG AS WAR
REMAINS OUR DOMINANT
POLITICAL THEME. BUT SERIOUS
THOUGH THEY ARE, THEY PALE
IN COMPARISON WITH THE
LARGER PROBLEM OF THE
INTERNATIONAL TRADE-ANDFINANCIAL
ORDER UNDER CONDITIONS OF
PERMANENT WAR.
IT IS A STRAIGHTFORWARD FACT
THAT IF GLOBAL OIL
PRODUCTION STARTS TO DECLINE
BUT U.S. CONSUMPTION
DOES NOT, EVERYONE ELSE WILL
BE REQUIRED TO CUT
PURCHASES AND USES OF OIL.
BUT HOW CAN OIL PRICES BE
HELD STABLE FOR AMERICANS
YET BE MADE TO RISE FOR
EVERYONE ELSE? ONLY BY A
POLICY OF CONTINUING
DEPRECIATION IN EVERYONE
ELSE'S CURRENCY. SUCH A
POLICY OF DOLLAR HEGEMONY
AMID WORLDWIDE FINANCIAL
INSTABILITY, OF CRUSHING
DEBT BURDENS AND DEFLATION
THROUGHOUT THE DEVELOPING
WORLD, IS PERVERSE. IT
WILL MAKE OUR TRADING
PARTNERS' EXPORTS CHEAP,
RENDER THEIR IMPORTS DEAR
AND KEEP THEIR REAL WAGES
52
LOW. IT WILL PRICE AMERICAN
GOODS OUT OF WORLD
MARKETS AND LEAD TO
UNSUSTAINABLE DEPENDENCE ON
FOREIGN CAPITAL. IT WILL BE
A POLICY, IN SHORT, OF
BEGGAR-ALL-OF-OUR-NEIGHBORS
WHILE WE LIVE ALONE, IN
INCREASING IDLENESS AND
INSIDE THE DOLLAR BUBBLE.
THIS IS THE POLICY THAT BUSH
AND CHENEY ARE ACTUALLY
IMPOSING ON THE REST OF THE
WORLD. BUT THEY CANNOT
MAKE IT LAST. IT WILL MAKE
LIVES MISERABLE ELSEWHERE,
GENERATING EVER MORE
RESISTANCE, TERRORISM AND
MILITARY ENGAGEMENT.
MEANWHILE, WE WILL NOT
EXPERIENCE EVEN GRADUAL
EXPOSURE TO THE CHANGING
ENERGY BALANCE; WE WILL
THEREFORE NEVER MAKE THE
INVESTMENTS REQUIRED TO
ADJUST, EVEN EVENTUALLY, TO A
WORLD OF SCARCE AND
EXPENSIVE OIL. IN THE END,
THEREFORE, THAT WORLD WILL
ARRIVE MUCH MORE
ABRUPTLY THAN IT OTHERWISE
WOULD, SHAKING THE
FRAGILE EDIFICE OF OUR OIL
ECONOMY TO ITS FOUNDATIONS.
AND WE WILL SOMEDAY FACE A
DOUBLE EXPLOSION: OF
ANGER AGAINST OUR ARROGANCE
AND OF ACTUAL
SHORTAGE AND COLLAPSING
LIVING STANDARDS, WHEN THE
CONFIDENCE OF INVESTORS IN
THE DOLLAR FINALLY GIVES
WAY.
COMPARED WITH THIS FUTURE, A
NEW COMMITMENT TO
COLLECTIVE SECURITY, TO A
NEW WORLD FINANCIAL
STRUCTURE, TO A RATIONAL
ENERGY AND TRANSPORTATION
POLICY, AND TO SPENDING TO
MEET OUR ACTUAL DOMESTIC
NEEDS WOULD BE A BARGAIN. AT
THE END OF THE
CONSTITUTIONAL CONVENTION,
BENJAMIN FRANKLIN WAS
ASKED WHAT TYPE OF
GOVERNMENT THE FRAMERS HAD GIVEN OUR NEW COUNTRY. HE FAMOUSLY REPLIED, "A
REPUBLIC, IF YOU CAN KEEP IT."
53
IN 49 BC JULIUS CAESAR,
FRESH FROM A BATTLEFIELD VICTORY IN
CENTRAL ITALY ORDERED HIS
LEGIONS TO CROSS A SMALL CREEK
CALLED THE RUBICON. UNDER
THE LAWS OF THE ROMAN REPUBLIC,
THE ARMY WAS NOT ALLOWED TO
ENTER THE CAPITAL CITY.
AS JULIUS CAESAR CROSSED THE
RUBICON, THE ROMAN REPUBLIC
DIED AND THE ROMAN EMPIRE
WAS BORN.
OUR TASK, IF WE AND MUCH OF
HUMAN CIVILIZATION ARE TO SURVIVE,
IS NOT TO KEEP OUR REPUBLIC,
BUT TO TAKE IT BACK.
THANK YOU,
54